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Inflation Deflation Cycle Review
Created on: 11/17/2020 2:32:59 PM

inflation-deflation-cycle-reviewStructural change forces the current narrative to change. One such structural change would be a period elevated inflation.

Inflation is a condition which effects many economic models, we only have to review the history books of the 1970's to see how asset classes reacted then and how they may react in the future. 

In periods of inflation there are short periods of deflation, as markets adjust from one theme to another it usually does so with some pain. The short answer: Nothing moves in a straight line and high volatility will shock the most experience investor.  

Long term cycles raise the question, if happened before is it likely to happen again. Price does not always fit the sine wave cycle neatly, but if the cycle is true price will correct to the cycle swing. 

Some cycle to be aware of ... be aware of the different time frames. 


Inflation

CPI





CRB Index


CRB cycle




Oil Cycle

OIL




US Dollar Cycle



USD




SP500 Cycle


USD




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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.


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Investing Quote...

...“Losing money is the least of my troubles.  A loss never troubles me after I take it.  I forget it overnight.  But being wrong – not taking the loss – that is what does the damage to the pocket book and to the soul.”...

Jesse Livermore


.."A lie told often enough becomes the truth"..


Vladimir Lenin

.."If you have trouble imagining a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn't be in stocks"..

John (Jack) Bogle


.."It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong"..

George Soros



..."This [Federal Reserve Act] establishes the most gigantic trust on earth. When the President Woodrow Wilson signs this bill, the invisible government of the monetary power will be legalized....the worst legislative crime of the ages is perpetrated by this banking and currency bill."...

Charles August Lindbergh Snr




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