printpdfimage

Which to trade? Fundamentals or Technicals
Created on: 2/9/2021 1:39:49 PM   Last Update: 2/9/2021 1:57:58 PM Posted by: RTT

which-to-trade--fundamentals-or-technicalsBest to trade technical's, best to trade fundamentals, best to trade technical's, etc.


Consider Paul Tudor Jones quote below.


.."Fundamentals might be good for the first third or first 50 or 60 percent of a move, but the last third of a great bull market is typically a blow-off, whereas the mania runs wild and prices go parabolic. There is no training, classroom or otherwise, that can prepare for trading the last third of a move, whether it's the end of a bull market or the end of a bear market."...



In short, markets start with macro but in the end they are more like a ponzi. 


Which is best to trade fundamentals or technical's?


The answer is both and with different weights at different stages of the market, in the early part of the market fundamentals will have more weight, but as the market matures fundamentals must be balanced with the technical's. Because a market involves humans, and fear are greed are at work, more so when prices are extreme.



To demonstrate the above listen to this very good fundamental chat on Ethereum. 





At the 41.40 min mark Raoul Pal answers the question as to a possible price forecast of Ethereum, he says:


.."nobody can think is exponential terms, humans are incapable of this"...




So there you have it after 40 minutes fundamental chat, price is determined by humans in a free market environment of greed (demand) and fear (supply). Technical's are used to measure lows and extremes of greed and fear, just like the price channels below:



ETH





But in the end even Ponzi met reality.


..."The minute you get away from the fundamentals – whether it’s proper technique, work ethic, or mental preparation – the bottom can fall out of your game"...


Basketball Legend Michael Jordan



The only thing in mania markets is a minute can be weeks, months or years.





 

Divider




Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote...

..“What beat me was not having the brains enough to stick to my own game – that is, to play the market only when I was satisfied that precedents favored my play.”..

Jesse Livermore


The minute you get away from the fundamentals – whether it’s proper technique, work ethic, or mental preparation – the bottom can fall out of your game.

Basketball Legend Michael Jordan.


..."This [Federal Reserve Act] establishes the most gigantic trust on earth. When the President Woodrow Wilson signs this bill, the invisible government of the monetary power will be legalized....the worst legislative crime of the ages is perpetrated by this banking and currency bill."...

Charles August Lindbergh Snr


..“One must search through a maze of complex and contradictory details to get to the significant facts … Then he must be able to operate coldly, clearly, and skilfully on the basis of those facts.” The challenge for the successful speculator is “how to disentangle the cold hard facts from the rather warm feelings of the people dealing with the facts.” Moreover, “if you get all the facts, your judgment can be right; if you don’t get all the facts, it can’t be right”...

Bernard Baruch


.."A market is the combined behavior of thousands of people responding to information, misinformation and whim"..

Kenneth Chang




© Copyright 2021     www.readtheticker.com (or 'RTT')


Source URL: https://www.readtheticker.com/Pages/Blog1.aspx?65tf=4090_which-to-trade--fundamentals-or-technicals-2021-02

Public Disclaimer