US Dollar Weakness Precedes Equity Weakness
Created on: 12/15/2020 2:41:34 PM Last Update: 12/15/2020 2:41:58 PM Posted by: RTT
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 Wait what! Well, why would foreign capital run into a falling currency!
We have always heard that a falling US dollar helps growth.
But if Foreigners want to buy US assets they also do not want to lose on the currency.
If a US equity market is high and the US dollar depreciates then so does the foreign investment in US assets.
Money likes appreciation in equity and currency value, if one falters, it will leave.
If the US Dollar falls into the 80s (on the DXY) the SELL button for stocks will be near.
Watching ....
NOTE: The 2004-2006 time period (??) was the US Housing boom which plugged a few holes while foreign capital did not run to the USA.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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Investing Quote...
.."Tape reading is rapid-fire horse sense...The Tape Reader aims to make deductions from each succeeding transaction -- every shift of the market kaleidoscope; to grasp a new situation, force it lightning-like through the weighing machine of the brain and to reach a decision which will be acted upon with coolness and precision"..
Richard D Wyckoff
..“It is much harder to sell stocks correctly than to buy them correctly.” Because of the emotional aspect of trading, if a “stock went up, the average investor would hold because he wants more gains – he’s exhibiting greed. If the stock declines, he also holds on and hopes the stock will come back so he can at least sell and break even – he’s hoping against hope”..
Bernard Baruch
..“How many millionaires do you know who have become wealthy by investing in savings accounts?”..
Robert G Allen
.."Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected"..
George Soros
..“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism and die of euphoria.”..
John Templeton
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