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Inflation Deflation Cycle Review
Created on: 11/17/2020 2:32:59 PM   Last Update: 11/17/2020 2:33:20 PM Posted by: RTT

inflation-deflation-cycle-reviewStructural change forces the current narrative to change. One such structural change would be a period elevated inflation.

Inflation is a condition which effects many economic models, we only have to review the history books of the 1970's to see how asset classes reacted then and how they may react in the future. 

In periods of inflation there are short periods of deflation, as markets adjust from one theme to another it usually does so with some pain. The short answer: Nothing moves in a straight line and high volatility will shock the most experience investor.  

Long term cycles raise the question, if happened before is it likely to happen again. Price does not always fit the sine wave cycle neatly, but if the cycle is true price will correct to the cycle swing. 

Some cycle to be aware of ... be aware of the different time frames. 


Inflation

CPI





CRB Index


CRB cycle




Oil Cycle

OIL




US Dollar Cycle



USD




SP500 Cycle


USD




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NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.

Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.


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Investing Quote...

.."I believe that the public wants to be led, to be instructed, to be told what to do. They want reassurance. They will always move en masse, a mob, a herd, a group, because people want the safety of human company. They are afraid to stand alone because they want to be safely included within the herd, not to be the lone calf standing on the desolate, dangerous, wolf-patrolled prairie of contrary opinion."..

Jesse Livermore


.."When a dictatorship is a fact. Revolution becomes a right"..


Victor Hugo

.."Socialism in general has a record of failure so blatant that only an intellectual could ignore or evade it"..


Thomas Sowell

.."The first rule is not to lose. The second rule is not to forget the first rule"

Warren Buffett


The minute you get away from the fundamentals – whether it’s proper technique, work ethic, or mental preparation – the bottom can fall out of your game.

Basketball Legend Michael Jordan.




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