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Created on: 9/12/2024 3:56:24 PM Last Update: 9/15/2024 2:00:12 PM Posted by: RTT
1 POST
US Debt to GDP issue, what is next?
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The last 100 years USA debt to GDP has exploded on the back of wars and crisis.
The first chart shows how and when this came to be.
Chart 1 - US Debt to GDP%.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
The US Debt to GDP% ratio can be fixed in a few ways:
1) Revalue selective assets on the USA balance sheet higher: 8,000 tonnes of gold is currently valued at $34 USD an once. This could be revalued to $10,000 USD and once.
2) Massive production miracle to boost GDP from some new technology.
3) Cut spending and pay back the debt. Very hard politically and a world wide depression may result.
4) Inflate prices higher while debt stays the same (just like Israel did after several wars). Most likely!
Chart 2 - How Israel fixed its debt problem. Israel inflated the debt away.
Short Answer: Higher inflation and suppressed interest rates are coming to the USA very soon, to simply deflate the debt away.
Currently USA debt to GDP% is around 122%. This can still go to +150% before Congress deals with the debt. The may be a election issue in 2028, as the interest expense costs becomes too much to bear.
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Investing Quote...
..."They say you never grow poor taking profits. No, you don’t. But neither do you grow rich taking a four-point profit in a bull market."..
Jesse Livermore
.."If you have trouble imagining a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn't be in stocks"..
John (Jack) Bogle
.."It Ain’t What You Don’t Know That Gets You Into Trouble. It’s What You Know for Sure That Just Ain’t So"..
Mark Twain
..“Successful speculation requires staying on top of changes in industries and companies that either create new industries or improve on existing industries. The majority of your profits will come from these two … The shrewdest traders throughout history all adapted the skill of reactionary change, as the market constantly presents new and different opportunities.”..
Bernard Baruch
.."Until an hour before the Devil fell, God thought him beautiful in Heaven"..
Arthur Miller, “The Crucible” [Contrarian Investing]
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