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Created on: 8/11/2024 6:51:41 PM Last Update: 8/11/2024 7:34:15 PM Posted by: RTT
1 POST
Market Money Sugar
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 Is the fuel for the markets coming from private investment or public investment?
Here are some charts investors should know about.
Chart 1 - Fiscal policy via US Congress
Government spending is exceeding revenues and is fueling the US economy more than private investment. Fiscal policy is dominating monetary policy, as it simply has more influence in the economy and unfortunately crowding out private investment.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
Chart 2 - Federal Reserve Balance sheet
Since the stock market lows of the 2009 GFC the Federal Reserve's (FED) balance sheet has grown, and this growth has supported the equity markets.
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Chart 3 - Department Of Treasury Funding Accounts.
The Dept of Treasury (DOT) has been using the TGA, Rev Repo, discount window, and other short term funding tools to massage liquidity into the markets. Add to this issuing new debt as ready cash short term T Bills, and also changing rules for domestic banks to allow 'more' treasuries on the balance sheet relative to their reserves.
The red line below shows the consolidation of both the FED and DOT actions. The green line is the difference between the two. As you can see, the FED dominated actions from 2009 to 2019, but since 2020, the DOT has played a major role in providing liquidity. In fact, the DOT is the dominant player over the FED.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
The point: US Congress fiscal policy combined with Dept of Treasury funding actions simply over powers any monetary policy via Federal Reserve actions. Therefore markets are held up by public actions and not private actions.
NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote...
.."I did exactly the wrong thing. The cotton showed me a loss and I kept it. The wheat showed me a profit and I sold it out. Of all the speculative blunders there are few greater than trying to average a losing game. Always sell what shows you a loss and keep what shows you a profit."..
Jesse Livermore
.."The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing"..
Philip Fisher
.."The financial markets generally are unpredictable. So that one has to have different scenarios... The idea that you can actually predict what's going to happen contradicts my way of looking at the market."..
George Soros
..“I buy on the assumption they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years” and “Much success can be attributed to inactivity. Most investors cannot resist the temptation to constantly buy and sell.”..
Warren Buffet
..The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell"..
John Templeton
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We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
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