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Created on: 1/12/2023 1:17:33 PM   Last Update: 1/12/2023 1:33:58 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 255 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.

1 POST Hot pick for 2023 - 2
hot-pick-for-2023--2This is pick number 2. It is number 2 as the volatility is extreme and a new low is not off the table.

Ethereum is likely to recover off its lows, however unlikely to make new highs in 2023.

Some points: 

- Both Bitcoin and Ethereum are managing supply shocks (BTC - MT Cox coin release, ETH - Stacking release post merge) to ensure price recovers. 

- Big down moves end on big bad news, the FTX crash should be the bad news to end the crypto sell off (well pending).

- New liquidity is arriving to world markets via the Chinese re opening and a lower US dollar.

- The FED's balance sheet reduction is being offset by the Dept of Treasury (Yellen) use of the TGA account.

- The reduction of world wealth via Bonds, Crypto, World Stock markets is near $30 trillion USD, the damage has been done to lower inflation concerns. The inflation fix is working.

- The greatest pain trade is for sold off risk on markets to recover. 

- The US has a balance of payments issue in 2023, who will buy excess USTs. The FED of course!



Chart ETH - Notice how $ETH moves between green channel support and resistance lines. 


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ETH



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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.


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Investing Quote...

.."Without specific, clear, and tested rules, speculators do not have any real chance of success"..

Jesse Livermore


.."A socialist is someone who has read Lenin and Marx. An anti-socialist is someone who undertstand Lenin and Marx"..


Ronald Reagan

.."Fundamentals might be good for the first third or first 50 or 60 percent of a move, but the last third of a great bull market is typically a blow-off, whereas the mania runs wild and prices go parabolic... There is no training, classroom or otherwise, that can prepare for trading the last third of a move, whether it's the end of a bull market or the end of a bear market."...

Paul Tudor Jones


..“I buy on the assumption they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years” and “Much success can be attributed to inactivity. Most investors cannot resist the temptation to constantly buy and sell.”..

Warren Buffet


My experience has been that in successful businesses and fund management companies, which performed well over the long-term, some courageous decisions were taken. Courageous fund managers reduce their positions when markets become frothy and accumulate equities when economic and social conditions are dire. They avoid the most popular sectors, which are therefore over-valued, and invest in neglected sectors because being neglected by investors they are by definition inexpensive. The point is that it is very hard and that it takes a lot of courage for a fund manager to avoid the most popular sectors and stocks and to invest in unloved assets. Finally, every investor understands the principle ‘buy low and sell high’, but when prices are low nobody wants to buy.

Marc Faber





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