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Created on: 12/14/2022 5:47:23 PM Last Update: 12/14/2022 5:53:17 PM Posted by: RTT
1 POST
Love of property investment will die
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When the cost of property finance doubles the asset prices will suffer.
A bond crisis will arrive to the world largest bond market post 2024. Higher mortgages rates in 2022 was just a teaser, double digit mortgage rates are coming in 2024/25. Central bankers will not be able to hold back the inflation push in bond yields.
POINT: 2023 will be the last year of grace before world wide mortgage rates go nuts. Why?
Well the funding of the US Government by US Treasuries is a function of low inflation and low interest rates, and low inflation is dependent on low energy costs. If you frustrate the energy supply (and food) you will get shortages, shortages lead to demand and supply issues which result in higher prices for longer and inflation is the result.
POINT: This of course means if you tame energy supplies, then you will tame inflation.
Lots of moving parts, start your education here.
Long term cycles on the US 10 yr suggest decade lows rates are in.
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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
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Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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Investing Quote...
..“What beat me was not having the brains enough to stick to my own game – that is, to play the market only when I was satisfied that precedents favored my play.”..
Jesse Livermore
After a question on how to become a better investor professional Mr Munger responded, ..“Read history, read history, read history."..
Charlie Munger
.."No amount of evidence will ever persuade an idiot"..
Mark Twain
..“I buy on the assumption they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years” and “Much success can be attributed to inactivity. Most investors cannot resist the temptation to constantly buy and sell.”..
Warren Buffet
.."If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians"..
Warren Buffett
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