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Created on: 5/13/2022 9:11:23 PM Last Update: 5/13/2022 9:30:11 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 861 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
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Powell doing a Volker to crush inflation, yeah right!
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 In 1979, Volker was equal to Goliath as he had a good chance of crushing inflation, today the debt Goliath is massive.
In the video below David Rosenberg explains the FED is on a 'Volker' mission to crush inflation no matter what happens to risk on assets like stocks.
David Rosenberg thinking is challenged when ask about the current US debt levels, as Paul Volker did say that he could not have crushed inflation with the debt levels of today. David Rosenberg simply says the FED is going to hike no matter what, until something very serious breaks.
The question remains will something break in the markets after: 1%, 1.5% or 2% hikes. No one knows. But as the US debt to GDP% is over 120% this suggest sooner rather than latter has the best odds. This blogs says near 2022 Q3.
Will Powell even be able to start Quantitative tightening (QT or reducing the FED balance sheet)? Or is the next major FED move to Pivot [like 2018] back to the extremely dovish monetary side.
Volker rate hike conditions 1979 to 1982
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Powell rate hike conditions 2022+
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We are at the pain line now. Pension funds are fearful of valuation crash already.
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NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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Investing Quote...
.."Successful tape reading is a study of force. It requires the ability to judge which side has the greatest of pulling power and one must have the courage to go with that side"..
Richard D Wyckoff
..“How many millionaires do you know who have become wealthy by investing in savings accounts?”..
Robert G Allen
.."Markets are designed to allow individuals to look after their private needs and to pursue profit. It's really a great invention and I wouldn't under-estimate the value of that, but they're not designed to take care of social needs"..
George Soros
..“If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he is wrong.”..
Bernard Baruch
..The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell"..
John Templeton
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