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Created on: 5/13/2022 9:11:23 PM   Last Update: 5/13/2022 9:30:11 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 735 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.

1 POST Powell doing a Volker to crush inflation, yeah right!
powell-doing-a-volker-to-crush-inflation-yeah-rightIn 1979, Volker was equal to Goliath as he had a good chance of crushing inflation, today the debt Goliath is massive.

In the video below David Rosenberg explains the FED is on a 'Volker' mission to crush inflation no matter what happens to risk on assets like stocks.

David Rosenberg thinking is challenged when ask about the current US debt levels, as Paul Volker did say that he could not have crushed inflation with the debt levels of today.  David Rosenberg simply says the FED is going to hike no matter what, until something very serious breaks.

The question remains will something break in the markets after: 1%, 1.5% or 2% hikes. No one knows. But as the US debt to GDP% is over 120% this suggest sooner rather than latter has the best odds. This blogs says near 2022 Q3.

Will Powell even be able to start Quantitative tightening (QT or reducing the FED balance sheet)? Or is the next major FED move to Pivot [like 2018] back to the extremely dovish monetary side.









Volker rate hike conditions 1979 to 1982


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Dow 1






Powell rate hike conditions 2022+


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Dow 2




We are at the pain line now. Pension funds are fearful of valuation crash already. 


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SPY 1




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Investing Quote...

..."I learned early that there is nothing new in Wall Street. There can’t be because speculation is as old as the hills. Whatever happens in the stock market today has happened before and will happen again. I’ve never forgotten that."..

Jesse Livermore


.."If you have trouble imagining a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn't be in stocks"..

John (Jack) Bogle


.."Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected"..

George Soros


...“I swear by my life and my love of it that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.”...


Ayn Rand

...“People somehow think you must buy at the bottom and sell at the top to be successful in the market. That’s nonsense! The idea is to buy when the probability is greatest that the market is going to advance”...

Martin Zweig (The inspiration behind a number of Martin Zweig’s methods came, from Jesse Livermore).




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