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Created on: 8/19/2021 4:08:15 PM Last Update: 8/19/2021 4:10:18 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 1367 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
US Dollar Short Term Cycle Peak Near
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 The US dollar is likely to peak near or soon after the FED Jackson Hole speech. The FED is testing market sentiment.
The FED is likely to taper its balance sheet (via Bullard, say starting 2022 Q2), the taper is likely to be with mortgage backed securities (not US Treasuries, unless they want the yield curve to shoot up). This should not wobble the markets too much.
The US dollar is rallying into the Jackson Hole speech, therefore it is normal market action to see the unwinding of shorts positions. Also, in truth no one knows if the FED will make a mistake (remember the taper tantrum). If you review the CTFC COT reports there is no explosion of open interest which supports the idea that short positions are being closed.
Cycles confirm the current emotions surrounding Jackson Hole time frame.
Cycle 1 - Short term DXY peak expected soon.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
Cycle 2 - Long View of the above, notice the fractal.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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Investing Quote...
.."TIME is the most important factor in determining market movements and by studying the past records of the averages or individual stocks you will be able to prove for yourself that history does repeat and that by knowing the past you can tell the future.
There is a definite relation between TIME and PRICE.
Now, by a study of the TIME PERIODS and TIME CYCLES you will learn why tops and bottoms are found at certain times and why Resistance Levels are so strong at certain times and bottoms and tops hold around them.
The most money is made when fast moves and extreme fluctuations occur at the end of major cycles." ..
William D Gann
Novice Traders trade 5 to 10 times too big. They are taking 5 to 10% risks on a trade they should be taking 1 to 2 percent risks.
Bruce Kovner
...“I swear by my life and my love of it that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.”...
Ayn Rand
.."it is better to have few stocks and to watch them carefully”...
Bernard Burach
..."Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."..
Mark Twain
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We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
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