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Created on: 8/19/2021 4:08:15 PM Last Update: 8/19/2021 4:10:18 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 840 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
US Dollar Short Term Cycle Peak Near
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 The US dollar is likely to peak near or soon after the FED Jackson Hole speech. The FED is testing market sentiment.
The FED is likely to taper its balance sheet (via Bullard, say starting 2022 Q2), the taper is likely to be with mortgage backed securities (not US Treasuries, unless they want the yield curve to shoot up). This should not wobble the markets too much.
The US dollar is rallying into the Jackson Hole speech, therefore it is normal market action to see the unwinding of shorts positions. Also, in truth no one knows if the FED will make a mistake (remember the taper tantrum). If you review the CTFC COT reports there is no explosion of open interest which supports the idea that short positions are being closed.
Cycles confirm the current emotions surrounding Jackson Hole time frame.
Cycle 1 - Short term DXY peak expected soon.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
Cycle 2 - Long View of the above, notice the fractal.
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NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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Investing Quote...
.."Keep the number of stocks you own to a controllable number. It is hard to herd cats, and it is hard to track many securities. Take your losses quickly and do not brood about them. Try to learn from them but mistakes are as inevitable as death."..
Jesse Livermore
.."If you have trouble imagining a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn't be in stocks"..
John (Jack) Bogle
.."Just because you’re taught that something’s right and everyone believes it’s right, it don’t make it right."..
Mark Twain
.."The first rule is not to lose. The second rule is not to forget the first rule"
Warren Buffett
.."If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians"..
Warren Buffett
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