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Created on: 8/7/2021 6:45:01 PM   Last Update: 8/7/2021 6:48:35 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 1015 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.

1 POST Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 - Update 2
bubble-watch--maybe-it-only-just-started-dow-50000--update-2A brief chart post of why Dow 45,000 to 50,000 is on the table.

Many are forecasting a blow off top for stocks. This is fair, and it has happened a few times before, one lead into 1987 (first chart below, see A)  and another into 2000 (first chart below, see B and C) Dow Jones market tops.

The Detrending Price Oscillator (DPO) indicator measures price away from a simple moving average in percentage terms.

POINT: In short it measures how far the rubber band is stretched. 


Lets look at the DPO indicator. Currently today's price position is at 3 (or 60%) this is equal to prior positions of 1 and 2 (first chart below). The DPO price (3) can move all the way up to prior tops of A,B and C, to X. If this happens, it will be equal to a Dow Jones price range of 44,000 and 50,000, see X??. This a percentage gain of 25% to 45%  (current Dow Jones is 35,000).

POINT: Investors will not want to miss out on these gains.


The red cycle shown on the Dow as worked very well over 100 years, please review the red cycle high during the 1987 top, this can happen again in 2021/22. History may not repeat exactly, but it sure can rhyme. 


Chart 1 - Dow with the DPO.

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DOW 1




Chart 2 - Price bands


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DOW 2



Divider




NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.

Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.


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NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote...

.."I latter told my students, 'think in waves' [of price and volume]"..

Richard D Wyckoff


.."Until an hour before the Devil fell, God thought him beautiful in Heaven"..

Arthur Miller, “The Crucible”
 [Contrarian Investing]





..“If it’s obvious, it’s obviously wrong.”..

Joe Granville


.."Capitalism works better than it sounds, while socialism sounds better than it works"...


Richard Nixon

.."No amount of evidence will ever persuade an idiot"..


Mark Twain




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