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Created on: 5/21/2021 2:20:51 AM   Last Update: 5/21/2021 2:21:03 AM Posted by: RTT
1 POST US April Hot Inflation Report - So when will the FED tigthen? (RTT Plus)
us-april-hot-inflation-report--so-when-will-the-fed-tigthen-rtt-plusWhen inflation is hot (CPI) the normal reaction is call for higher interest rates.

The FED does not want higher interest rates.

They want inflation to inflate asset prices to deflate the debt away. 

The FED will only raise rates when their political masters allow them to, and as the mid terms are coming up in Nov 2022, do not bet on the FED raising rates (or reducing their balance sheet) any time soon.


You can watch the FED FUNDS Rate to employment here (RTT Plus >> RTT charts), the FED is already lagging, just like after 2009 March low.



Mohamed El-Erian doesn't think Fed will prematurely respond to high inflation


Extract .."no action from the FED for many months"...




and Stealth Yield Curve Control is already active.





Of course if the FED did tighten then risk on markets will fall 15% to 30% and you can bet the FED will print baby print just like they did during March 2020 COVID scare.


RTT's research suggests the FED has chosen to let inflation to run hot (CPI > Interest rates [or negative yield]) for some time, for the benefit of risk on investors, of course the release valve will be a lower US dollar and bond holders getting crushed.


Hedge Fund guys are dreaming of FED tightening (higher interest rates or balance sheet reduction) to allow them to load up into the hot trends (or get out of bonds), as they know the SP500 COVID March 2020 'v' reversal would be a great way to profit.

Like this guy ...




SOURCE: This post was originally posted in our private RTT Plus members blog, and released on this public blog in a time delayed manner. RTT Plus members have access to private content immediately.Please be aware links to secured RTT Plus content will not work without a RTT Plus membership.


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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.


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Investing Quote...

..“It cost me millions to learn that another dangerous enemy to a trader is his susceptibility to the urgings of a magnetic personality when plausibly expressed by a brilliant mind.”...

Jesse Livermore


.."Wall Street is the only place that people ride to in a Rolls Royce to get advice from those who take the subway"..

Warren Buffett


..."This [Federal Reserve Act] establishes the most gigantic trust on earth. When the President Woodrow Wilson signs this bill, the invisible government of the monetary power will be legalized....the worst legislative crime of the ages is perpetrated by this banking and currency bill."...

Charles August Lindbergh Snr


.."Earnings don’t move the overall market; it’s the Federal Reserve Board… focus on the central banks and focus on the movement of liquidity… most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It’s liquidity that moves markets"...

Stan Druckenmiller


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