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Created on: 2/9/2021 1:39:49 PM   Last Update: 2/9/2021 1:57:58 PM Posted by: RTT
1 POST Which to trade? Fundamentals or Technicals
which-to-trade--fundamentals-or-technicalsBest to trade technical's, best to trade fundamentals, best to trade technical's, etc.


Consider Paul Tudor Jones quote below.


.."Fundamentals might be good for the first third or first 50 or 60 percent of a move, but the last third of a great bull market is typically a blow-off, whereas the mania runs wild and prices go parabolic. There is no training, classroom or otherwise, that can prepare for trading the last third of a move, whether it's the end of a bull market or the end of a bear market."...



In short, markets start with macro but in the end they are more like a ponzi. 


Which is best to trade fundamentals or technical's?


The answer is both and with different weights at different stages of the market, in the early part of the market fundamentals will have more weight, but as the market matures fundamentals must be balanced with the technical's. Because a market involves humans, and fear are greed are at work, more so when prices are extreme.



To demonstrate the above listen to this very good fundamental chat on Ethereum. 





At the 41.40 min mark Raoul Pal answers the question as to a possible price forecast of Ethereum, he says:


.."nobody can think is exponential terms, humans are incapable of this"...




So there you have it after 40 minutes fundamental chat, price is determined by humans in a free market environment of greed (demand) and fear (supply). Technical's are used to measure lows and extremes of greed and fear, just like the price channels below:



Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
ETH





But in the end even Ponzi met reality.


..."The minute you get away from the fundamentals – whether it’s proper technique, work ethic, or mental preparation – the bottom can fall out of your game"...


Basketball Legend Michael Jordan



The only thing in mania markets is a minute can be weeks, months or years.





 

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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote...

..."The average chart reader is apt to become obsessed with the notion that the dips and peaks and primary and secondary movements are all there is to stock speculation. If he pushes his confidence to it’s logical limit he is bound to go broke."...

Jesse Livermore


..“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism and die of euphoria.”..

John Templeton


...“To me, the 'tape' is the final arbiter of any investment decision. I have a cardinal rule: Never fight the tape!”...

Martin Zweig


..“If it’s obvious, it’s obviously wrong.”..

Joe Granville


..“If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he is wrong.”..

Bernard Baruch




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We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund



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