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Created on: 11/1/2020 2:02:57 PM Last Update: 11/1/2020 2:13:18 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 605 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
SP500 Cycle Review
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 Many of our cycle methods suggest 2021 will see another major top in stocks. But how far down? Forecasting how large the correction may be is any ones guess, any thing from 10% to 66% is on the table.
Assuming the US elections do not shock, the built up energy (CAUSE) will release higher asset prices (EFFECT) for 4 to 8 months. The massive generation of COVID US M2 money supply is sitting in bank accounts ready to be leveraged (buy buy buy) by the major Wall Street banks. Yes you can confirm that the global liquidity is high and ready to hunt for a home.
Chart 1: The Kitchin cycle continues to work (notice the margin of error band).
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Chart 2: Bartels confirms the above cycle. Notice major market tops and timely intervals.
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NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote...
.."At long as a stock is acting right, and the market is right, do not be in a hurry to take profits"..
Jesse Livermore Trading Rule
My experience has been that in successful businesses and fund management companies, which performed well over the long-term, some courageous decisions were taken. Courageous fund managers reduce their positions when markets become frothy and accumulate equities when economic and social conditions are dire. They avoid the most popular sectors, which are therefore over-valued, and invest in neglected sectors because being neglected by investors they are by definition inexpensive. The point is that it is very hard and that it takes a lot of courage for a fund manager to avoid the most popular sectors and stocks and to invest in unloved assets. Finally, every investor understands the principle ‘buy low and sell high’, but when prices are low nobody wants to buy.
Marc Faber
.."The first rule is not to lose. The second rule is not to forget the first rule"
Warren Buffett
.."It Ain’t What You Don’t Know That Gets You Into Trouble. It’s What You Know for Sure That Just Ain’t So"..
Mark Twain
.."A businessman cannot force you to buy his product; if he makes a mistake, he suffers the consequences; if he fails, he takes the loss. If bureaucrat makes a mistake, you suffer the consequences; if he fails, he passes the loss on to you"..
Ayn Rand
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We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
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