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Created on: 11/1/2020 2:02:57 PM   Last Update: 11/1/2020 2:13:18 PM Posted by: RTT
1 POST SP500 Cycle Review
sp500-cycle-reviewMany of our cycle methods suggest 2021 will see another major top in stocks. But how far down? Forecasting how large the correction may be is any ones guess, any thing from 10% to 66% is on the table.

Assuming the US elections do not shock, the built up energy (CAUSE) will release higher asset prices (EFFECT) for 4 to 8 months. The massive generation of COVID US M2 money supply is sitting in bank accounts ready to be leveraged (buy buy buy) by the major Wall Street banks. Yes you can confirm that the global liquidity is high and ready to hunt for a home.


Chart 1: The Kitchin cycle continues to work (notice the margin of error band).


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SPY2



Chart 2: Bartels confirms the above cycle. Notice major market tops and timely intervals.


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SPY 1



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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote...

.."Without specific, clear, and tested rules, speculators do not have any real chance of success"..

Jesse Livermore


..“Investing should be like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement…go to Las Vegas.”...

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."Buying stuff people hate, that's the business we are in, right!"..."you may need to have a longer time horizon"..."be patient"..

Mark Yusko


..“If it’s obvious, it’s obviously wrong.”..

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.."To cause high prices, all the Fed will do will be to lower the re discount rate..., producing an expansion of credit and a rising stock market; then when, business men are adjusted to these conditions, it can check, prosperity in mid career by arbitrarily raising the rate of interest. It can cause the pendulum of a rising and falling market to swing gently back and forth by slight changes in the discount rate, or cause violent fluctuations by a greater rate variation and in either case it will possess inside information as to financial conditions and advance knowledge of the coming change, either up or down. This is the most dangerous advantage ever placed in the hands of a special privilege class by any Government that ever existed. The are private, conducted for the purpose of obtaining the greatest possible profits from the use of other people's money. They know in advance when to create panics to their advantage, and when to stop panic."...

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We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund



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