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Created on: 7/3/2020 4:30:49 PM Last Update: 7/3/2020 4:43:45 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 244 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
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Golds quick price move increases the odds of a correction
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 Every market corrects, maybe profit taking, maybe of allowing those who missed out, to get in!
The current open interest on the gold contract looks to high after a very fast price move, it looks like 2008 may be repeating. A quick flushing out of the weak hands open interest may take place before a real advance in price takes place. The correction may be on the back of a wider sell off of risk assets (either before of after US elections) as all assets suffer contagion selling (just like 2008).
This blog view is a gold price correction of 10% to 20% range is a buying opportunity. Of course we may see a very minor price correction but a long time correction, a price or time is correction is expected, we shall watch and wait.
The explosion of open interest (chart below) along with gold price suggests 'all have loaded up', the big boys wont like this as they will not want to share gold gains with the public, one therefore can expect some sort of wash out of the weak public hands holding of gold future contracts before a real advance takes place.
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Also price has meet channel resistance.
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Also price is near upper resistance of the previous high.
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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote...
.."I believe that uncontrolled basic emotions are the true and deadly enemy of the speculator. That hope, fear, and greed is always present, these emotions sit on the edge of the psyche, waiting on the sidelines, waiting to jump into the action."..
Jesse Livermore
.."Until an hour before the Devil fell, God thought him beautiful in Heaven"..
Arthur Miller, “The Crucible”
[Contrarian Investing]
.."It's not whether you're right or wrong that's important, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you lose when you're wrong"..
George Soros
.."It's easier to fool people, than to convince them they have been fooled"..
Mark Twain
My experience has been that in successful businesses and fund management companies, which performed well over the long-term, some courageous decisions were taken. Courageous fund managers reduce their positions when markets become frothy and accumulate equities when economic and social conditions are dire. They avoid the most popular sectors, which are therefore over-valued, and invest in neglected sectors because being neglected by investors they are by definition inexpensive. The point is that it is very hard and that it takes a lot of courage for a fund manager to avoid the most popular sectors and stocks and to invest in unloved assets. Finally, every investor understands the principle ‘buy low and sell high’, but when prices are low nobody wants to buy.
Marc Faber
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