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Created on: 5/8/2025 2:46:25 PM Last Update: 5/8/2025 2:52:49 PM Posted by: RTT
1 POST
USA economy to pick up second half of 2025
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 Trump has lowered the US dollar, this has allowed China to print.
Note: All the charts below have been built on readtheticker.com 'comparison' chart functionality.
Chart 1 : Favorable US dollar, interest rates, and corporate credit conditions lead the ISM PMI manufacturing activity. The first half of 2025 has seen CEOs sit on their hands while they wait for the TRUMP disruption to settle. These CEOs will roll the dice and produce more as they will see demand from sales orders in the second half of 2025 going into 2026. Just in time for the TRUMP midterm elections.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
Chart 2 : The USA ISM PMI manufacturing index has a relationship with the Chinese 10 year bond rate (inverted). The Chinese boom and bust 10 year bond rate represents the effect of world demand for Chinese goods and the delayed effect on Chinese inflation. As in chart 1, the second half of 2025 and 2026 looks positive for USA manufacturing.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
Chart 3 : The reason why Chart 2 works so well is because the boom and bust cycle of the Chinese 10 year bond rate is associated with the Bank of China money printing periods. More money printing is expected from the PBOC to try exit their current deflationary woes.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
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Investing Quote...
..."Vibration is fundamental; nothing is exempt from this law; it is universal, therefore applicable to every class of phenomena on the globe."...
William D Gann
.."It Ain’t What You Don’t Know That Gets You Into Trouble. It’s What You Know for Sure That Just Ain’t So"..
Mark Twain
.."A government is the most dangerous threat to a man's rights: it holds a legal monopoly on the use of physical force against legally disarmed victims"..
Ayn Rand
...“People somehow think you must buy at the bottom and sell at the top to be successful in the market. That’s nonsense! The idea is to buy when the probability is greatest that the market is going to advance”...
Martin Zweig (The inspiration behind a number of Martin Zweig’s methods came, from Jesse Livermore).
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Warren Buffett
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