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Created on: 8/11/2024 6:51:41 PM Last Update: 8/11/2024 7:34:15 PM Posted by: RTT
1 POST
Market Money Sugar
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 Is the fuel for the markets coming from private investment or public investment?
Here are some charts investors should know about.
Chart 1 - Fiscal policy via US Congress
Government spending is exceeding revenues and is fueling the US economy more than private investment. Fiscal policy is dominating monetary policy, as it simply has more influence in the economy and unfortunately crowding out private investment.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
Chart 2 - Federal Reserve Balance sheet
Since the stock market lows of the 2009 GFC the Federal Reserve's (FED) balance sheet has grown, and this growth has supported the equity markets.
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Chart 3 - Department Of Treasury Funding Accounts.
The Dept of Treasury (DOT) has been using the TGA, Rev Repo, discount window, and other short term funding tools to massage liquidity into the markets. Add to this issuing new debt as ready cash short term T Bills, and also changing rules for domestic banks to allow 'more' treasuries on the balance sheet relative to their reserves.
The red line below shows the consolidation of both the FED and DOT actions. The green line is the difference between the two. As you can see, the FED dominated actions from 2009 to 2019, but since 2020, the DOT has played a major role in providing liquidity. In fact, the DOT is the dominant player over the FED.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
The point: US Congress fiscal policy combined with Dept of Treasury funding actions simply over powers any monetary policy via Federal Reserve actions. Therefore markets are held up by public actions and not private actions.
NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote...
.."While I have made it a practice to limit my risk in most cases, I can trace most of my principal losses to my failure to place stop orders when the trades were made."..
Richard D Wyckoff
.."Money can't buy you happiness but it does bring you a more pleasant form of misery"..
Spike Milligan
Unless you can watch your stock holding decline by 50 per cent without becoming panic stricken, you should not be in the stock market.
Warren Buffett
..“Successful speculation requires staying on top of changes in industries and companies that either create new industries or improve on existing industries. The majority of your profits will come from these two … The shrewdest traders throughout history all adapted the skill of reactionary change, as the market constantly presents new and different opportunities.”..
Bernard Baruch
.."When a dictatorship is a fact. Revolution becomes a right"..
Victor Hugo
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We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
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