|
|
|
|
Created on: 1/23/2024 5:29:30 PM Last Update: 1/23/2024 6:27:52 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 480 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
Market moving macro in 2024
|
 It is time for the FED to hire Jordan Belfort (Wolf of WallStreet fame) to sell US government debt. After all, Jordan Belfort is a man who can sell tea to China.
Chart 1 - The red line generates the income to pay interest on the blue line. If the rate of change of debt growth and the cost of debt are an ever increasing burden on the cash flow generated by growth, something is going to structurally break. Gold near $2,000 USD is a bargain (same price as 2011)!
Chart 2 - Here is a smarter chart of Chart 1 above. When the fat red line sinks and falls below zero, this is a period of time when the rate of change in debt growth is much faster than GDP (not adjusted for inflation). Gold says this matters. The gold price moves higher in such an environment.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
Chart 3 - China CPI is in deflation (CPI below zero). The FED broke China! President Xi recently visited the USA and met with some heavy hitters to help re-inflate China. It is mostly likely to coordinate Chinese stimulus with US election year stimulus. China cannot afford the negative effects of prolonged deflation periods.
ZH summary says it all.
Which means China now has two options: pretend that the failed policies it has been doing (or pretending to do) so far has been successful, which it likely will until there is just too much blood on the streets, or it will finally capitulate and unleash the biggest fiscal stimulus ever seen in China: we are talking multiple trillions here, and in dollars not yuan, consequences be damned, because we are nearing the point of peak panic where Beijing will do anything at all to buy social order and stability for just a few more months. And once all those tens of trillions in Chinese deposits start fleeing, that's when the real meltup in non-fiat assets - read gold, silver, crypto, fine art, wines, etc - will truly start.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.
Support this work by buying us a hot drink by CLICKING HERE. If you would like make greater contribution, please make a donation by CLICKING HERE
NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote...
..“It is foolhardy to make a second trade, if your first trade shows you a loss. Never average losses. Let this thought be written indelibly upon your mind.”..
Jesse Livermore
My experience has been that in successful businesses and fund management companies, which performed well over the long-term, some courageous decisions were taken. Courageous fund managers reduce their positions when markets become frothy and accumulate equities when economic and social conditions are dire. They avoid the most popular sectors, which are therefore over-valued, and invest in neglected sectors because being neglected by investors they are by definition inexpensive. The point is that it is very hard and that it takes a lot of courage for a fund manager to avoid the most popular sectors and stocks and to invest in unloved assets. Finally, every investor understands the principle ‘buy low and sell high’, but when prices are low nobody wants to buy.
Marc Faber
Investing should be more like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement, take $800 and go to Las Vegas.
Nobel Laureate for Economics Paul Samuelson
.."Capitalism works better than it sounds, while socialism sounds better than it works"...
Richard Nixon
.."A market is the combined behavior of thousands of people responding to information, misinformation and whim"..
Kenneth Chang
|
|
|
|
We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
|
|
 | Pages |
| | 1. Blog Performance Review |
| | 2. List of the best blog posts |
| MostRecent |
|  | USA economy to pick up second half of 2025 |
| | Semi Conductors ready to bounce. |
| | Mining stocks higher into 2026 Mid terms |
| | Gold warning signal just fired |
|  | Dow Jones Long Cycle Review |
 | Ney(1) |
 | | US Dollar with Ney and Gann Angles |
 | Crypto Currency(31) |
| Central Banks(18) |
| Crisis Watch(9) |
| Wyckoff(4) |
| Cycles(5) |
| Gann(13) |
| Chart Review(17) |
| Browsing(120) |
| RTT TV(15) |
| Sector Watch(30) |
| RTT Tools(43) |
| Wyckoff 2.0(42) |
| Mystery Trader(6) |
| | Elliot Wave within Wyckoff Logic |
| Market Strategy(73) |
| Cycle Review(76) |
| Swing Trade Idea(49) |
| Market Calls(26) |
| Investors(105) |
| | Hidden Pivot Point and Wyckoff logic |
| News(7) |
| Bonds(20) |
| Metals and Forex(165) |
| Gann Wyckoff Hurst(119) |
| | Newmont Mining Gann Angles |
| Wall Street(25) |
| Ticker Review(35) |
| Uncategorized(2) |
| | Bitcoin Chart Review |
| Market Review(96) |
| Jokes(28) |
 | Economic(100) |
| | USA economy to pick up second half of 2025 |
| | China M1 is key to watch. |
| | US Debt to GDP issue, what is next? |
| | The uninformed are crushed by money supply growth |
| | US Election Year Cash Bazooka |
| | 2024 soft landing working it |
| | US GDP recovery |
| | US tax receipts hurting the dollar |
| | Stagflation now, as deflation risks grow |
| | Love of property investment will die |
| | Money supply crash will force a sharp FED reaction |
| | Powell has a debt problem |
| | Powell doing a Volker to crush inflation, yeah right! |
| | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 - Update 1 (RTT Plus) |
| | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 (RTT Plus) |
| | US is bound by these economic rules (RTT Plus) |
| | Dow Jones Utility index could trade like the FANGs |
| | Funds are getting ready to move out of USA |
| | US Economic Review 2019Q4 |
| | Bond Market, Houston we have a problem! |
| 202505(1) |
| | USA economy to pick up second half of 2025 |
| 202504(1) |
| | Semi Conductors ready to bounce. |
| 202503(1) |
| | Mining stocks higher into 2026 Mid terms |
| 202501(2) |
| 202412(1) |
| | Bitcoin passes $100,000 |
| 202411(1) |
| | Post TRUMP win, our top pick |
| 202410(1) |
| | China M1 is key to watch. |
| 202409(1) |
| | US Debt to GDP issue, what is next? |
| 202408(1) |
| | Market Money Sugar |
| 202407(1) |
| | The uninformed are crushed by money supply growth |
| 202406(1) |
| | US Election Year Cash Bazooka |
| 202405(1) |
| | Bitcoin 2025 price targets |
| 202404(1) |
| | Fed panic signal to watch for |
| 202403(1) |
| | Gold stocks ready to move |
| 202402(1) |
| | Long term bond games will send investors into gold |
| 202401(2) |
| 202312(1) |
| | Stock market cycle look into 2024 |
| 202311(1) |
| | Ethereum runs hot on new market liquidity |
| 202310(2) |
| 202309(3) |
| 202308(3) |
| 202307(2) |
| 202306(3) |
| 202305(3) |
| 202304(4) |
| 202303(2) |
| 202302(4) |
| 202301(3) |
| 202212(4) |
| 202211(3) |
| 202210(5) |
| 202209(3) |
| 202208(4) |
| 202207(4) |
| 202206(3) |
| 202205(5) |
| 202204(3) |
| 202203(3) |
| 202202(2) |
| 202201(4) |
| 202112(5) |
| 202111(4) |
| 202110(3) |
| 202109(5) |
| 202108(5) |
| 202107(8) |
| 202106(9) |
| 202105(7) |
| 202104(4) |
| 202103(7) |
| 202102(6) |
| 202101(8) |
| 202012(3) |
| 202011(5) |
| 202010(3) |
| 202009(4) |
| 202008(4) |
| 202007(4) |
| 202006(3) |
| 202005(5) |
| 202004(4) |
| 202003(10) |
| 202002(5) |
| 202001(5) |
| 201912(5) |
| 201911(5) |
| 201910(7) |
| 201909(5) |
| 201908(4) |
| 201907(5) |
| 201906(5) |
| 201905(7) |
| 201904(5) |
| 201903(8) |
| 201902(5) |
| 201901(6) |
| 201812(4) |
| 201811(5) |
| 201810(7) |
| | RTT browsing latest.. |
| | Kitchin Cycle warned of market volatility |
| | History Rhymes with the Dow |
| | No Bids In This Market |
| | SP500 sell off well forecast by President Trump |
| | Bond Market, Houston we have a problem! |
 RSS
Atom
Email Delivery
Blog Links
Symbols used in blog
AAPL AMZN AORD AUY BB BTC COP DJI DOW DXY ETH EUR FB FXE FXY GDX GDXJ GLD GOLD GOOG HMY HUI INDU JJC LTC MCD NCM NEM NFLX OIL PALL QQQ RGLD SILVER SLV SOX SPY SSRM TLT TNX TRAN TYX UTIL VIX XAU XLE XLU
|