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Created on: 12/14/2022 5:47:23 PM   Last Update: 12/14/2022 5:53:17 PM Posted by: RTT
1 POST Love of property investment will die
love-of-property-investment-will-dieWhen the cost of property finance doubles the asset prices will suffer.

A bond crisis will arrive to the world largest bond market post 2024. Higher mortgages rates in 2022 was just a teaser, double digit mortgage rates are coming in 2024/25. Central bankers will not be able to hold back the inflation push in bond yields.

POINT: 2023 will be the last year of grace before world wide mortgage rates go nuts.


Why? 

Well the funding of the US Government by US Treasuries is a function of low inflation and low interest rates, and low inflation is dependent on low energy costs. If you frustrate the energy supply (and food) you will get shortages, shortages lead to demand and supply issues which result in higher prices for longer and inflation is the result.

POINT: This of course means if you tame energy supplies, then you will tame inflation. 



Lots of moving parts, start your education here.






Long term cycles on the US 10 yr suggest decade lows rates are in.


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Bonds



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Investing Quote...

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Jesse Livermore


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My experience has been that in successful businesses and fund management companies, which performed well over the long-term, some courageous decisions were taken. Courageous fund managers reduce their positions when markets become frothy and accumulate equities when economic and social conditions are dire. They avoid the most popular sectors, which are therefore over-valued, and invest in neglected sectors because being neglected by investors they are by definition inexpensive. The point is that it is very hard and that it takes a lot of courage for a fund manager to avoid the most popular sectors and stocks and to invest in unloved assets. Finally, every investor understands the principle ‘buy low and sell high’, but when prices are low nobody wants to buy.

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