|
|
|
|
Created on: 7/5/2022 3:29:07 PM Last Update: 7/5/2022 4:01:22 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 446 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
Money supply crash will force a sharp FED reaction
|
 The FED money supply pump and dump will have to be followed by another pump if they want to avoid a depression.
In the chart 1 below, M2 money (blue line) shows the COVID pump and dump by the FED. Yes this is the FED's mess, a panic reaction to COVID, and now a panic reaction to the inflation the FED created.
True Money Supply (TMS, red line) is M2 less time constraint money (money in time lock deposits), so this is ready cash to spend in 24 hours and a much better forecaster of the economy in 12 or 18 months time.
Money supply also suffers from purchasing power effects (inflation), so M2 and TMS have been adjusted for inflation in the chart below.
When ever the red line (TMS) sinks below the zero line a recession has followed in the months ahead, then what are we going to get in 2022/23 after the sharp crash of TMS (red line)?
In 1994/95 the TMS fell below the zero line, yet no recession followed, this was due to the very low oil price at the time. Therefore when the red line falls below the zero while oil has been high a recession is highly likely to follow in the months ahead (subject to the FED timed reaction with monetary policy).
The Chicago financial conditions index has not yet sunk to the lower gray line (@@CHCR), so no recession yet. The FED made this mess, and the FED can fix this mess. But they will be late, so we shall have a few quarters of terrible growth. A transfer of wealth to the informed will be made in the coming tough economic quarters. Let you be the informed!
Chart 1
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.
Support this work by buying us a hot drink by CLICKING HERE. If you would like make greater contribution, please make a donation by CLICKING HERE
NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote...
...“My satisfaction always came from beating the market, solving the puzzle. The money was the reward, but it was not the main reason I loved the market. The stock market is the greatest, most complex puzzle ever invented – and it pays the biggest jackpot…it was never the money that drove me. It was the game, solving the puzzle, beating the market that had confused and confounded the greatest minds in history. For me, that passion, the juice, the exhilaration was in beating the game, a game that was a living dynamic riddle"..
Jesse Livermore
.."The stock market is filled with individuals who know the price of everything, but the value of nothing"..
Philip Fisher
..."There is no difference between communism and socialism, except in the means of achieving the same ultimate end: communism proposes to enslave men by force, socialism - by vote. It is merely the difference between murder and suicide"...
Ayn Rand
.."A market is the combined behavior of thousands of people responding to information, misinformation and whim"..
Kenneth Chang
."Buying stuff people hate, that's the business we are in, right!"..."you may need to have a longer time horizon"..."be patient"..
Mark Yusko
|
|
|
|
We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
|
|
 | Pages |
| | 1. Blog Performance Review |
| | 2. List of the best blog posts |
| MostRecent |
|  | US GDP recovery |
| | Japanese Yen Cycle Review |
| | Global M2 effect on Gold |
| | Crude Oil near $300 plus |
|  | Bitcoin Time Map |
 | Ney(1) |
 | | US Dollar with Ney and Gann Angles |
 | Crypto Currency(27) |
| Central Banks(16) |
| Crisis Watch(9) |
| Wyckoff(4) |
| Cycles(5) |
| Gann(13) |
| Chart Review(17) |
| Browsing(120) |
| RTT TV(15) |
| Sector Watch(28) |
| RTT Tools(43) |
| Wyckoff 2.0(42) |
| Mystery Trader(6) |
| | Elliot Wave within Wyckoff Logic |
| Market Strategy(72) |
| Cycle Review(73) |
| Swing Trade Idea(48) |
| Market Calls(23) |
| Investors(105) |
| | Hidden Pivot Point and Wyckoff logic |
| News(7) |
| Bonds(19) |
| Metals and Forex(165) |
| Gann Wyckoff Hurst(119) |
| Wall Street(25) |
| Ticker Review(35) |
| Uncategorized(2) |
| | Bitcoin Chart Review |
| Market Review(96) |
| Jokes(28) |
 | Economic(94) |
| | US GDP recovery |
| | US tax receipts hurting the dollar |
| | Stagflation now, as deflation risks grow |
| | Love of property investment will die |
| | Money supply crash will force a sharp FED reaction |
| | Powell has a debt problem |
| | Powell doing a Volker to crush inflation, yeah right! |
| | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 - Update 1 (RTT Plus) |
| | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 (RTT Plus) |
| | US is bound by these economic rules (RTT Plus) |
| | Dow Jones Utility index could trade like the FANGs |
| | Funds are getting ready to move out of USA |
| | US Economic Review 2019Q4 |
| | Bond Market, Houston we have a problem! |
| 202309(2) |
| 202308(3) |
| 202307(2) |
| 202306(3) |
| 202305(3) |
| 202304(4) |
| 202303(2) |
| 202302(4) |
| 202301(3) |
| 202212(4) |
| 202211(3) |
| 202210(5) |
| 202209(3) |
| 202208(4) |
| 202207(4) |
| 202206(3) |
| 202205(5) |
| 202204(3) |
| 202203(3) |
| 202202(2) |
| 202201(4) |
| 202112(5) |
| 202111(4) |
| 202110(3) |
| 202109(5) |
| 202108(5) |
| 202107(8) |
| 202106(9) |
| 202105(7) |
| 202104(4) |
| 202103(7) |
| 202102(6) |
| 202101(8) |
| 202012(3) |
| 202011(5) |
| 202010(3) |
| 202009(4) |
| 202008(4) |
| 202007(4) |
| 202006(3) |
| 202005(5) |
| 202004(4) |
| 202003(10) |
| 202002(5) |
| 202001(5) |
| 201912(5) |
| 201911(5) |
| 201910(7) |
| 201909(5) |
| 201908(4) |
| 201907(5) |
| 201906(5) |
| 201905(7) |
| 201904(5) |
| 201903(8) |
| 201902(5) |
| 201901(6) |
| 201812(4) |
| 201811(5) |
| 201810(7) |
| 201809(4) |
| 201808(6) |
| 201807(5) |
| 201806(4) |
| 201805(7) |
| | The Power of Momentum (for Wyckoff) |
| | Wide Market Cycle Review |
| | SP500 Cycle Review |
 RSS
Atom
FeedBurner| Email Delivery
Blog Links
Symbols used in blog
AAPL AMZN AORD AUY BB BTC COP DIA DJI DXY ETH EUR FB FXE FXY GDX GDXJ GLD GOOG HL HMY HPR HUI INDU JJC LTC MCD NCM NEM NFLX OIL PALL QQQ RGLD SLV SPY SSRM TLT TNX TRAN TYX UAN URG UTIL VIX XAU XLE XLU
|