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Created on: 5/13/2022 9:11:23 PM Last Update: 5/13/2022 9:30:11 PM Posted by: RTT WARNING: This entry is 986 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
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Powell doing a Volker to crush inflation, yeah right!
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In 1979, Volker was equal to Goliath as he had a good chance of crushing inflation, today the debt Goliath is massive.
In the video below David Rosenberg explains the FED is on a 'Volker' mission to crush inflation no matter what happens to risk on assets like stocks.
David Rosenberg thinking is challenged when ask about the current US debt levels, as Paul Volker did say that he could not have crushed inflation with the debt levels of today. David Rosenberg simply says the FED is going to hike no matter what, until something very serious breaks.
The question remains will something break in the markets after: 1%, 1.5% or 2% hikes. No one knows. But as the US debt to GDP% is over 120% this suggest sooner rather than latter has the best odds. This blogs says near 2022 Q3.
Will Powell even be able to start Quantitative tightening (QT or reducing the FED balance sheet)? Or is the next major FED move to Pivot [like 2018] back to the extremely dovish monetary side.
Volker rate hike conditions 1979 to 1982
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Powell rate hike conditions 2022+
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We are at the pain line now. Pension funds are fearful of valuation crash already.
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Investing Quote...
.."I believe that uncontrolled basic emotions are the true and deadly enemy of the speculator. That hope, fear, and greed is always present, these emotions sit on the edge of the psyche, waiting on the sidelines, waiting to jump into the action."..
Jesse Livermore
.."it is better to have few stocks and to watch them carefully”...
Bernard Burach
.."Money couldn't buy friends, but you got a better class of enemy"..
Spike Milligan
...“I swear by my life and my love of it that I will never live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.”...
Ayn Rand
.."Look at market fluctuations as your friend rather than your enemy; profit from folly rather than participate in it"..
Warren Buffett
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