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Created on: 5/13/2022 9:11:23 PM Last Update: 5/13/2022 9:30:11 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 198 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
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Powell doing a Volker to crush inflation, yeah right!
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 In 1979, Volker was equal to Goliath as he had a good chance of crushing inflation, today the debt Goliath is massive.
In the video below David Rosenberg explains the FED is on a 'Volker' mission to crush inflation no matter what happens to risk on assets like stocks.
David Rosenberg thinking is challenged when ask about the current US debt levels, as Paul Volker did say that he could not have crushed inflation with the debt levels of today. David Rosenberg simply says the FED is going to hike no matter what, until something very serious breaks.
The question remains will something break in the markets after: 1%, 1.5% or 2% hikes. No one knows. But as the US debt to GDP% is over 120% this suggest sooner rather than latter has the best odds. This blogs says near 2022 Q3.
Will Powell even be able to start Quantitative tightening (QT or reducing the FED balance sheet)? Or is the next major FED move to Pivot [like 2018] back to the extremely dovish monetary side.
Volker rate hike conditions 1979 to 1982
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Powell rate hike conditions 2022+
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We are at the pain line now. Pension funds are fearful of valuation crash already.
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NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
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Investing Quote...
.."There were times when my plans went wrong and my stocks did not run true to form, but did the opposite of what they should have done if they had kept up their regard for precedent. But they did not hit me very hard – they couldn’t, with my shoestring margins."...
Jesse Livermore
.."It does not take a majority to prevail, but rather an irate tireless minority keen to set brush fires of the freedom in the minds of men"...
Samuel Adams
..“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism and die of euphoria.”..
John Templeton
...“Run for your life from any man who tells you that money is evil. That sentence is the leper's bell of an approaching looter”...
Ayn Rand
.."A government is the most dangerous threat to a man's rights: it holds a legal monopoly on the use of physical force against legally disarmed victims"..
Ayn Rand
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