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Created on: 5/13/2022 9:11:23 PM Last Update: 5/13/2022 9:30:11 PM Posted by: RTT
1 POST
Powell doing a Volker to crush inflation, yeah right!
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 In 1979, Volker was equal to Goliath as he had a good chance of crushing inflation, today the debt Goliath is massive.
In the video below David Rosenberg explains the FED is on a 'Volker' mission to crush inflation no matter what happens to risk on assets like stocks.
David Rosenberg thinking is challenged when ask about the current US debt levels, as Paul Volker did say that he could not have crushed inflation with the debt levels of today. David Rosenberg simply says the FED is going to hike no matter what, until something very serious breaks.
The question remains will something break in the markets after: 1%, 1.5% or 2% hikes. No one knows. But as the US debt to GDP% is over 120% this suggest sooner rather than latter has the best odds. This blogs says near 2022 Q3.
Will Powell even be able to start Quantitative tightening (QT or reducing the FED balance sheet)? Or is the next major FED move to Pivot [like 2018] back to the extremely dovish monetary side.
Volker rate hike conditions 1979 to 1982
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Powell rate hike conditions 2022+
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We are at the pain line now. Pension funds are fearful of valuation crash already.
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Investing Quote...
.."Your goals are to select only stocks that move soonest, fastest and farthest in bull or bear markets. Limited losses and let profits run."..
Richard D Wyckoff
.."The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other peoples' money"..
Margaret Thatcher
..“Investing should be like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement…go to Las Vegas.”...
Paul Samuelson
."Buying stuff people hate, that's the business we are in, right!"..."you may need to have a longer time horizon"..."be patient"..
Mark Yusko
..“I buy on the assumption they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years” and “Much success can be attributed to inactivity. Most investors cannot resist the temptation to constantly buy and sell.”..
Warren Buffet
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