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Created on: 1/16/2022 3:59:47 PM Last Update: 1/16/2022 4:21:15 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 1244 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
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US Dollar Short Term Cycle Peak Near - Update
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 The short term US Dollar cycle peak is upon us, it is time for capital flows to rule the direction of the DXY.
Previous Post: US Dollar Short Term Cycle Peak Near
Capital flows and interest rate differentials move currency around.
If capital flows take over, then they DXY is going into the 80's at least. Of course hiking rates 4 times is easier on the world when the DXY is near 80 rather than 95. A lot if US debt held by emerging markets is at risk otherwise. And yes a lower US dollar in early 2022 helps China out, as it supports world demand, and in late 2022 Chinese stimulus is expected. Nice!
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The US dollar cycle is rolling over in the short term.
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Some people do not want the US dollar to fall as it has been great to be long the US Dollar trades. JP Morgan Jamie Dimon says he could see 6 to 7 rate hikes in 2022. Of course silver shorts unwinding will not be great for the Bank of America and/or JP Morgan. There are too many open trades requiring the US dollar to stay trending higher. Oops, looks like a leadership change is about to occur in 2022.
This sector is worth watching.
2022 is going to be fun!
NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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Investing Quote...
.."Money is made in tape reading [chart reading] by anticipating what is coming -- not by waiting till it happens and going with the crowd"...
Richard D Wyckoff
..“Don’t try to buy at the bottom and sell at the top. It can’t be done except by liars.”..
Bernard Baruch
...“Run for your life from any man who tells you that money is evil. That sentence is the leper's bell of an approaching looter”...
Ayn Rand
After a question on how to become a better investor professional Mr Munger responded, ..“Read history, read history, read history."..
Charlie Munger
My experience has been that in successful businesses and fund management companies, which performed well over the long-term, some courageous decisions were taken. Courageous fund managers reduce their positions when markets become frothy and accumulate equities when economic and social conditions are dire. They avoid the most popular sectors, which are therefore over-valued, and invest in neglected sectors because being neglected by investors they are by definition inexpensive. The point is that it is very hard and that it takes a lot of courage for a fund manager to avoid the most popular sectors and stocks and to invest in unloved assets. Finally, every investor understands the principle ‘buy low and sell high’, but when prices are low nobody wants to buy.
Marc Faber
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We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
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