|
|
|
|
Created on: 9/25/2021 3:20:38 PM Last Update: 9/25/2021 4:18:55 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 729 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
Silver during periods of Industrial Inflation
|
 When industrial inflation is hotter than consumer inflation silver does well.
Previous Post: Silver, after the FED said taper talk is a long way off
In the chart below we see the relationship between silver and the yield curve and the Producer Price Inflation.
The yield curve is the US 30 yr interest rate less the Fed Funds interest rate (blue line). When the blue line is high a steep yield curve is present, and when it is low a flat yield curve is present. A steep yield curve is when longer term rates are higher than short term rates vica versa for a flat yield curve.
A steep yield curve is when the long term rates are higher than the short term rates, suggesting investors are not selling risk on assets and buying safe bonds, this is a healthy risk on environment. A flat yield curve is a period of economic concern as investors are selling risk on assets and buying safe bonds, this is when the blue line is falling and if below zero it may lead to a recession. Silver price tends to suffers during recessions.
Economic recovery is when the blue line moves from up from zero, this recovery leads to increased industrial and investor demand for silver.
POINT: Yield curve recovery leads silver price recover.
The next indicator (red line) is the industrial producer price inflation ratio to the consumer price inflation, or PPI divided by CPI, or business versus the consumer. If during a period of yield curve recovery we also have hot producer price inflation the silver price recovery is likely to be more aggressive.
Higher inflation arrives during periods of abundant money supply while suffering market constraints (or shortages). There is abundant money around (after FED printing) and COVID19 has disrupted supply chains resulting in shortages. High demand for items in short supply creates inflation.
Currently 2021 PPI is red hot versus CPI and if this persist like the periods of 1973 to 1982 and 2006 to 2014 (ex 2008 shock) silver will likely see higher prices.
POINT: Hot industrial price inflation will support higher silver prices.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
The chart below shows Gann Angles drawn from zero (see more via our previous post), these are good for price pull back analysis. They currently show an ideal place for the bulls to buy back in at a great price.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.
Support this work by buying us a hot drink by CLICKING HERE. If you would like make greater contribution, please make a donation by CLICKING HERE
NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote...
.."While I have made it a practice to limit my risk in most cases, I can trace most of my principal losses to my failure to place stop orders when the trades were made."..
Richard D Wyckoff
.."No amount of evidence will ever persuade an idiot"..
Mark Twain
...“To me, the 'tape' is the final arbiter of any investment decision. I have a cardinal rule: Never fight the tape!”...
Martin Zweig
..“Investing should be like watching paint dry or watching grass grow. If you want excitement…go to Las Vegas.”...
Paul Samuelson
..."Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."..
Mark Twain
|
|
|
|
We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
|
|
 | Pages |
| | 1. Blog Performance Review |
| | 2. List of the best blog posts |
| MostRecent |
|  | US GDP recovery |
| | Japanese Yen Cycle Review |
| | Global M2 effect on Gold |
| | Crude Oil near $300 plus |
|  | Bitcoin Time Map |
 | Ney(1) |
 | | US Dollar with Ney and Gann Angles |
 | Crypto Currency(27) |
| Central Banks(16) |
| Crisis Watch(9) |
| Wyckoff(4) |
| Cycles(5) |
| Gann(13) |
| Chart Review(17) |
| Browsing(120) |
| RTT TV(15) |
| Sector Watch(28) |
| RTT Tools(43) |
| Wyckoff 2.0(42) |
| Mystery Trader(6) |
| | Elliot Wave within Wyckoff Logic |
| Market Strategy(72) |
| Cycle Review(73) |
| Swing Trade Idea(48) |
| Market Calls(23) |
| Investors(105) |
| | Hidden Pivot Point and Wyckoff logic |
| News(7) |
| Bonds(19) |
| Metals and Forex(165) |
| Gann Wyckoff Hurst(119) |
| Wall Street(25) |
| Ticker Review(35) |
| Uncategorized(2) |
| | Bitcoin Chart Review |
| Market Review(96) |
| Jokes(28) |
 | Economic(94) |
| | US GDP recovery |
| | US tax receipts hurting the dollar |
| | Stagflation now, as deflation risks grow |
| | Love of property investment will die |
| | Money supply crash will force a sharp FED reaction |
| | Powell has a debt problem |
| | Powell doing a Volker to crush inflation, yeah right! |
| | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 - Update 1 (RTT Plus) |
| | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 (RTT Plus) |
| | US is bound by these economic rules (RTT Plus) |
| | Dow Jones Utility index could trade like the FANGs |
| | Funds are getting ready to move out of USA |
| | US Economic Review 2019Q4 |
| | Bond Market, Houston we have a problem! |
| 202309(2) |
| 202308(3) |
| 202307(2) |
| 202306(3) |
| 202305(3) |
| 202304(4) |
| 202303(2) |
| 202302(4) |
| 202301(3) |
| 202212(4) |
| 202211(3) |
| 202210(5) |
| 202209(3) |
| 202208(4) |
| 202207(4) |
| 202206(3) |
| 202205(5) |
| 202204(3) |
| 202203(3) |
| 202202(2) |
| 202201(4) |
| 202112(5) |
| 202111(4) |
| 202110(3) |
| 202109(5) |
| 202108(5) |
| 202107(8) |
| 202106(9) |
| 202105(7) |
| 202104(4) |
| 202103(7) |
| 202102(6) |
| 202101(8) |
| 202012(3) |
| 202011(5) |
| 202010(3) |
| 202009(4) |
| 202008(4) |
| 202007(4) |
| 202006(3) |
| 202005(5) |
| 202004(4) |
| 202003(10) |
| 202002(5) |
| 202001(5) |
| 201912(5) |
| 201911(5) |
| 201910(7) |
| 201909(5) |
| 201908(4) |
| 201907(5) |
| 201906(5) |
| 201905(7) |
| 201904(5) |
| 201903(8) |
| 201902(5) |
| 201901(6) |
| 201812(4) |
| 201811(5) |
| 201810(7) |
| 201809(4) |
| 201808(6) |
| 201807(5) |
| 201806(4) |
| 201805(7) |
| | The Power of Momentum (for Wyckoff) |
| | Wide Market Cycle Review |
| | SP500 Cycle Review |
 RSS
Atom
FeedBurner| Email Delivery
Blog Links
Symbols used in blog
AAPL AMZN AORD AUY BB BTC COP DIA DJI DXY ETH EUR FB FXE FXY GDX GDXJ GLD GOOG HL HMY HPR HUI INDU JJC LTC MCD NCM NEM NFLX OIL PALL QQQ RGLD SLV SPY SSRM TLT TNX TRAN TYX UAN URG UTIL VIX XAU XLE XLU
|