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Created on: 8/19/2021 4:08:15 PM Last Update: 8/19/2021 4:10:18 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 588 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
US Dollar Short Term Cycle Peak Near
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 The US dollar is likely to peak near or soon after the FED Jackson Hole speech. The FED is testing market sentiment.
The FED is likely to taper its balance sheet (via Bullard, say starting 2022 Q2), the taper is likely to be with mortgage backed securities (not US Treasuries, unless they want the yield curve to shoot up). This should not wobble the markets too much.
The US dollar is rallying into the Jackson Hole speech, therefore it is normal market action to see the unwinding of shorts positions. Also, in truth no one knows if the FED will make a mistake (remember the taper tantrum). If you review the CTFC COT reports there is no explosion of open interest which supports the idea that short positions are being closed.
Cycles confirm the current emotions surrounding Jackson Hole time frame.
Cycle 1 - Short term DXY peak expected soon.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
Cycle 2 - Long View of the above, notice the fractal.
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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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Investing Quote...
.."Your goals are to select only stocks that move soonest, fastest and farthest in bull or bear markets. Limited losses and let profits run."..
Richard D Wyckoff
The minute you get away from the fundamentals – whether it’s proper technique, work ethic, or mental preparation – the bottom can fall out of your game.
Basketball Legend Michael Jordan.
.."A radical is one who speaks the truth."..
Charles August Lindbergh Snr
.."Capitalism works better than it sounds, while socialism sounds better than it works"...
Richard Nixon
...“Run for your life from any man who tells you that money is evil. That sentence is the leper's bell of an approaching looter”...
Ayn Rand
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