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Created on: 8/7/2021 6:45:01 PM Last Update: 8/7/2021 6:48:35 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 1158 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 - Update 2
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 A brief chart post of why Dow 45,000 to 50,000 is on the table.
Many are forecasting a blow off top for stocks. This is fair, and it has happened a few times before, one lead into 1987 (first chart below, see A) and another into 2000 (first chart below, see B and C) Dow Jones market tops.
The Detrending Price Oscillator (DPO) indicator measures price away from a simple moving average in percentage terms.
POINT: In short it measures how far the rubber band is stretched.
Lets look at the DPO indicator. Currently today's price position is at 3 (or 60%) this is equal to prior positions of 1 and 2 (first chart below). The DPO price (3) can move all the way up to prior tops of A,B and C, to X. If this happens, it will be equal to a Dow Jones price range of 44,000 and 50,000, see X??. This a percentage gain of 25% to 45% (current Dow Jones is 35,000).
POINT: Investors will not want to miss out on these gains.
The red cycle shown on the Dow as worked very well over 100 years, please review the red cycle high during the 1987 top, this can happen again in 2021/22. History may not repeat exactly, but it sure can rhyme.
Chart 1 - Dow with the DPO.
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Chart 2 - Price bands
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NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote...
.."The market is like a slowly revolving wheel: Whether the wheel will continue to revolve in the same direction, stand still or reverse depends upon the forces which come in contact with it hub and tread"...
Richard D Wyckoff
.."We are fast approaching the stage of the ultimate inversion: the stage where the government is free to do anything it pleases, while the citizens may act only by permission"..
Ayn Rand
..."I always believe that prices move first and fundamentals come second"..
Paul Tudor Jones
.."To cause high prices, all the Fed will do will be to lower the re discount rate..., producing an expansion of credit and a rising stock market; then when, business men are adjusted to these conditions, it can check, prosperity in mid career by arbitrarily raising the rate of interest. It can cause the pendulum of a rising and falling market to swing gently back and forth by slight changes in the discount rate, or cause violent fluctuations by a greater rate variation and in either case it will possess inside information as to financial conditions and advance knowledge of the coming change, either up or down. This is the most dangerous advantage ever placed in the hands of a special privilege class by any Government that ever existed. The are private, conducted for the purpose of obtaining the greatest possible profits from the use of other people's money. They know in advance when to create panics to their advantage, and when to stop panic."...
Charles August Lindbergh Snr
.."Just because you do not take an interest in politics doesn't mean politics won't take an interest in you"..
Pericles
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We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
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