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Created on: 3/31/2021 1:27:12 PM   Last Update: 3/31/2021 5:41:14 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 245 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.

1 POST US Dollar Forecast - Weakness
us-dollar-forecast--weaknessThe rise in the US 10 yr as pulled up the US dollar, but soon the trillions of new money printing will soon pressure the dollar south. 

We can see below the dollar 'T Theory' cycle suggesting we near done, and a period of change is due in the next 4 to 6 months. Notice how neatly the US dollar fits into even weekly time periods.  


The recent US dollar strength had to happen as EVERY ONE was short the US dollar, as the short energy for hitting the ASK BUTTON just dried up, these past six weeks have set up a nice bounce to smash the US dollar ASK once again over the next 4 to 6 months.



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USD1




MI2Partners posted this 20 year US Trade Weighted Index (TWI) model on twitter, here

@MI2Partners In #macroeconomics, when you get the direction of the #USdollar right, the rest falls into place. Triffin’s Dilemma reminds us of the inconsistencies in domestic & international goals. The consequences for the #dollar will be profound



As you can see their forecast is for a new 20 year low in the TWI.

Of course this (or just half of the crash) would create a hyperinflation risk on rally, just like the DOW in 1929 or 1987, and just before US mid terms. Hmmm typical!


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USD3





readtheticker.com US dollar model (below) suggest new lows for the DXY.

Main drivers are European banks are doing better (or less worse) compared to US banks, add on the comparison of core inflation between the US and Europe and lower DXY lows can be expected.



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USD1



CRAZY has not even started yet!


This is what a hyperinflation DOW blow off top could look like, mapped with 1929 and 1987. DOW to 44,000 or 56,000. YES, this is what can happen at the end of a 80 year debt cycle.


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DOW 4




Of course if the DOW can do something crazy like the above, BITCOIN is bound to go batty!

OH Dear!




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NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.

Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.


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Investing Quote...

.."Frequent requests are made for the name of someone who will teach the Art of Tape Reading. I do not know of anyone able to read the tape with profit who is willing to become an instructor. The reason is very simple. Profits from the tape far exceed anything that might be earned by charging tuition fees to his students. Its simple economics"…

Richard D Wyckoff


...“People somehow think you must buy at the bottom and sell at the top to be successful in the market. That’s nonsense! The idea is to buy when the probability is greatest that the market is going to advance”...

Martin Zweig (The inspiration behind a number of Martin Zweig’s methods came, from Jesse Livermore).


..“One must search through a maze of complex and contradictory details to get to the significant facts … Then he must be able to operate coldly, clearly, and skilfully on the basis of those facts.” The challenge for the successful speculator is “how to disentangle the cold hard facts from the rather warm feelings of the people dealing with the facts.” Moreover, “if you get all the facts, your judgment can be right; if you don’t get all the facts, it can’t be right”...

Bernard Baruch


..“How many millionaires do you know who have become wealthy by investing in savings accounts?”..

Robert G Allen


..“Successful speculation requires staying on top of changes in industries and companies that either create new industries or improve on existing industries. The majority of your profits will come from these two … The shrewdest traders throughout history all adapted the skill of reactionary change, as the market constantly presents new and different opportunities.”..

Bernard Baruch




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