|
|
|
Created on: 3/5/2021 6:09:58 PM Last Update: 3/5/2021 6:49:56 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 481 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
Who is King? The Bond Market or the FED
|
 The King Arthur story is battle between a false KING and the true KING. Generally the movie involves surprises, love and violence, and all this coming to the risk on markets very soon.
The financial blog space expects the FED to do some sort of Yield Curve Control (YCC) to hold interest rates down while inflation moves higher, this is allowing inflation to run hot. The FED wishes to do this over time to deflate the debt away. Very similar to the 1940's post WW2, yields were pegged to 2% and risk on assets went sky high.
However Peter Boockvar suggest the FED may soon learn it is not in control and the true king of the markets is the BOND MARKET. Peter says simply the bond market is telling the FED to bite me!
The FED is not used to taking second fiddle to any challenger, and you can bet the FED will not give up the chair of market king easily, and they will try to smash the bond market into submission with forms YCC, TWIST and more QE.
Of course if the FED fails, all markets will be repriced to the new cost of money and you can bet the market violence will be spectacular.
The pressure of future inflation agrees with current bullish up swing in the cycle below. (Cycle tools are in readtheticker.com)
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
Long term cycles, bullish for higher interest rates, inflation, commodities. Notice the 1940's period and how flat interest rates were, and what happened in the 1950's and after.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
The US debt percent of GDP now is much higher than 1940's, the chart below is only the Federal or Government debt, if you add on corporate and household, just double the yAxis percentage numbers. Currently the US interest expense is nearly equal to the US military budget.
NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.
Support this work by buying us a hot drink by CLICKING HERE. If you would like make greater contribution, please make a donation by CLICKING HERE
NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote...
..“The only way you get a real education in the market is to invest cash, track your trade, and study your mistakes…. The examination of a losing trade is tortuous but necessary to ensure that it will not happen again.”..
Jesse Livermore
..'The inherent vice of capitalism is the unequal sharing of blessings. The inherent vice of socialism is the equal sharing of miseries"..
Winston Churchill
..The time of maximum pessimism is the best time to buy and the time of maximum optimism is the best time to sell"..
John Templeton
..“If it’s obvious, it’s obviously wrong.”..
Joe Granville
..."The four most dangerous words in investing are 'This time it's different' "...
John Templeton
|
|
|
|
We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
|
|
 | Pages |
| | 1. Blog Performance Review |
| | 2. List of the best blog posts |
| MostRecent |
|  | Gold Stocks Review |
| | Cycle Review |
| | RTT browsing latest.. |
| | Gold Gann Angle Update |
|  | Powell has a debt problem |
 | Ney(1) |
 | | US Dollar with Ney and Gann Angles |
 | Crypto Currency(23) |
| Central Banks(11) |
| Crisis Watch(9) |
| Wyckoff(2) |
| Cycles(4) |
| Gann(13) |
| Chart Review(12) |
| Browsing(114) |
| RTT TV(15) |
| Sector Watch(27) |
| RTT Tools(43) |
| Wyckoff 2.0(42) |
| Mystery Trader(6) |
| | Elliot Wave within Wyckoff Logic |
| Market Strategy(70) |
| Cycle Review(66) |
| Swing Trade Idea(48) |
| Market Calls(23) |
| Investors(105) |
| | Hidden Pivot Point and Wyckoff logic |
| News(7) |
| Bonds(18) |
| | Higher interest rates for the 2020s (RTT Plus) |
| Metals and Forex(156) |
| Gann Wyckoff Hurst(119) |
| Wall Street(25) |
| Ticker Review(35) |
| Uncategorized(2) |
| | Bitcoin Chart Review |
| Market Review(95) |
| Jokes(28) |
 | Economic(89) |
| | Powell has a debt problem |
| | Powell doing a Volker to crush inflation, yeah right! |
| | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 - Update 1 (RTT Plus) |
| | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 (RTT Plus) |
| | US is bound by these economic rules (RTT Plus) |
| | Dow Jones Utility index could trade like the FANGs |
| | Funds are getting ready to move out of USA |
| | US Economic Review 2019Q4 |
| | Bond Market, Houston we have a problem! |
| 202206(3) |
| 202205(5) |
| 202204(3) |
| 202203(3) |
| 202202(2) |
| 202201(4) |
| 202112(5) |
| 202111(4) |
| 202110(3) |
| 202109(5) |
| 202108(5) |
| 202107(8) |
| 202106(9) |
| 202105(7) |
| 202104(4) |
| 202103(7) |
| 202102(6) |
| 202101(8) |
| 202012(3) |
| 202011(5) |
| 202010(3) |
| 202009(4) |
| 202008(4) |
| 202007(4) |
| 202006(3) |
| 202005(5) |
| 202004(4) |
| 202003(10) |
| 202002(5) |
| 202001(5) |
| 201912(5) |
| 201911(5) |
| 201910(7) |
| 201909(5) |
| 201908(4) |
| 201907(5) |
| 201906(5) |
| 201905(7) |
| 201904(5) |
| 201903(8) |
| 201902(5) |
| 201901(6) |
| 201812(4) |
| 201811(5) |
| 201810(7) |
| 201809(4) |
| 201808(6) |
| 201807(5) |
| 201806(4) |
| 201805(7) |
| 201804(6) |
| 201803(4) |
| 201802(7) |
| 201801(6) |
| 201712(7) |
| 201711(6) |
| 201710(7) |
| 201709(5) |
| | Gold Gann Angle Update |
| | How Wall Street works |
 RSS
Atom
FeedBurner| Email Delivery
Blog Links
Symbols used in blog
AAPL AMZN AORD AUY BA BB BMY BTC COP CRUDE DIA DJI DJT DJU DXY ETH EUR FB FCX FXE GDX GDXJ GLD GOOG HL HMY HPR HUI INDU JJC JNJ LTC MCD NCM NEM NFLX OIL PALL QQQ RGLD SLV SPY SSEC SSRM TLT TNX TRAN TYX UAN URG UTIL VIX XAU XLE XLU
|