|
|
|
Created on: 1/17/2021 5:01:31 PM Last Update: 1/17/2021 5:29:10 PM Posted by: RTT
1 POST
Why did selling SP500 volatility trades blow up?
|
 Many have made their fortunes selling volatility premium and then losing it, that is because they are running down the lit fuse and not understanding that eventually the strategy blows up.
In the chart below periods marked with A, B, C, D are periods of chasing yield which was so great the selling of option premium became vogue. Yes, this strategy worked for a while and 'this time was different' worked, until it didn't.
Selling volatility work great during period gray A until the cycle ended at red A.
Selling volatility work great during period gray B until the cycle ended at red B.
Selling volatility work great during period gray C until the cycle ended at blue C.
Selling volatility work great during period gray D until the cycle ended at blue D.
The point is if you play the selling volatility game, know thy cycle. Cycles matter!. The dominate cycles below gave you plenty of time to go to side lines when risk became apparent.
NOW >>What is interesting is gray E, VIX is above 20, and the red cycle is rising with the blue cycle is pending a swing up which suggest we are in a pending crisis moment (deflation shock).
IDEA: Have cycles studies in you investing plans, mix them with sentiment and market fundamentals.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.
NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote...
...“After spending many years in Wall Street and after making and losing millions of dollars, I want to tell you this: It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It was always my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!”...
Jesse Livermore
The minute you get away from the fundamentals – whether it’s proper technique, work ethic, or mental preparation – the bottom can fall out of your game.
Basketball Legend Michael Jordan.
..“Successful speculation requires staying on top of changes in industries and companies that either create new industries or improve on existing industries. The majority of your profits will come from these two … The shrewdest traders throughout history all adapted the skill of reactionary change, as the market constantly presents new and different opportunities.”..
Bernard Baruch
In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run it is a weighing machine.
Benjamin Graham
.."it is better to have few stocks and to watch them carefully”...
Bernard Burach
|
|
|
|
We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
|
|
 | Pages |
| | 1. Blog Performance Review |
| | 2. List of the best blog posts |
| MostRecent |
|  | RTT browsing latest.. |
| | Energy Lines on Crypto Currency |
| | Yellen can not stop the dollar decline |
| | Gold Stocks Ready Set Go |
|  | Money Printing Asset Price Targets |
 | Ney(1) |
 | | US Dollar with Ney and Gann Angles |
 | Crypto Currency(13) |
| Central Banks(6) |
| Crisis Watch(7) |
| Wyckoff(1) |
| | Wyckoff Price Thrust Measure |
| Cycles(2) |
| Gann(8) |
| Chart Review(11) |
| Browsing(103) |
| RTT TV(15) |
| Sector Watch(24) |
| RTT Tools(43) |
| Wyckoff 2.0(42) |
| Mystery Trader(6) |
| | Elliot Wave within Wyckoff Logic |
| Market Strategy(67) |
| Cycle Review(63) |
| Swing Trade Idea(48) |
| Market Calls(21) |
| Investors(105) |
| Bonds(18) |
| | Higher interest rates for the 2020s (RTT Plus) |
| Metals and Forex(149) |
| Gann Wyckoff Hurst(119) |
| Wall Street(25) |
| Ticker Review(35) |
| Uncategorized(2) |
| Market Review(95) |
| Jokes(28) |
 | Economic(84) |
| | Dow Jones Utility index could trade like the FANGs |
| | Funds are getting ready to move out of USA |
| | US Economic Review 2019Q4 |
| | Bond Market, Houston we have a problem! |
| | US 30 yr yield, your best defence is? |
| 202105(3) |
| 202104(4) |
| 202103(7) |
| 202102(6) |
| 202101(8) |
| 202012(3) |
| 202011(5) |
| 202010(3) |
| 202009(4) |
| 202008(4) |
| 202007(4) |
| 202006(3) |
| 202005(5) |
| 202004(4) |
| 202003(10) |
| 202002(5) |
| 202001(5) |
| 201912(5) |
| 201911(5) |
| 201910(7) |
| 201909(5) |
| 201908(4) |
| 201907(5) |
| 201906(5) |
| 201905(7) |
| 201904(5) |
| 201903(8) |
| 201902(5) |
| 201901(6) |
| 201812(4) |
| 201811(5) |
| 201810(7) |
| 201809(4) |
| 201808(6) |
| 201807(5) |
| 201806(4) |
| 201805(7) |
| 201804(6) |
| 201803(4) |
| 201802(7) |
| 201801(6) |
| 201712(7) |
| 201711(6) |
| 201710(7) |
| 201709(5) |
| 201708(5) |
| 201707(7) |
| 201706(6) |
| 201705(7) |
| 201704(4) |
| 201703(6) |
| 201702(5) |
| 201701(7) |
| 201612(7) |
| 201611(7) |
| | Gold Cycle Update |
| | Joke: When Hitler found out TRUMP won! |
| | RTT browsing latest.. |
| | Richard Ney method in the stock market |
| | Gold Gann - Update |
| | Trump Trade - Inflation risk high |
 RSS
Atom
FeedBurner| Email Delivery
Blog Links
Symbols used in blog
AAPL ABX AMZN AORD AUY BA BAC BB BBRY BMRN BMY BTC BTCUSD1 COP CRUDE DIA DJI DJT DJU DXY ETH EUR FB FCX FXA FXE FXY GDX GDXJ GG GLD GOOG HL HMY HPR HUI INDU JJC JNJ LTC MCD NCM NEM NFLX NVDA OIL PALL QQQ RGLD SBUX SLV SLW SP500 SPY SSEC SSRM TLT TNX TRAN TYX UAN URG UTIL VIX WFC WFM XAU XLE XLF XLU
|