|
|
Created on: 2/24/2020 3:21:32 PM Last Update: 2/24/2020 5:18:28 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 2359 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
Oil cycle leads the stock cycle
|
 Sure correlation is not causation, but this chart should be known by you.
We all know the world economy was waiting for a pin to prick the 'everything bubble', but no one had any idea of what the pin would look like.
Hence this is why the story of the black swan is so relevant.
There is massive debt behind the record high stock markets, there so much debt the political will required to allow central banks to print trillions to cover losses will likely effect elections. The point is printing money to cover billions is unlikely to upset anyone, however printing trillions will. In 2007 it was billions, in 202X it will be trillions. Yeah, get that passed the community who wants a roads or hospitals versus bailing out investment banks for a second time in a few decades.
The 2020 virus may not be the Spanish flue (lets hope so), however its effects on highlighting how weak the world supply chain is as well as the increased risk of a human deadly virus is more prevalent and more so how poorly the health services react to a crisis. This means there will be a 'structural change' on how things go forward. Supply chains will become more local, less centralized, consumer physical goods may require virus protection manufacturing process. This will all cost more, therefore higher prices and maybe even a inflation shock is in the future.
Inflation is the one thing which can rock the 'bubble' world. Why? Who can control the long end of the bond market, well no one. Remember when the US 10 year hit 3.2% (Nov 2018) and the world could not handle it, forcing the FED to stop QT and start QE (via repo market).
A famous quote, highlighting the power of the bond market:
In the 1990s, the Democratic political adviser James Carville said: ...“I used to think that if there was reincarnation, I wanted to come back as the president or the pope or as a .400 baseball hitter. But now I would like to come back as the bond market. You can intimidate everybody.”...
Stock market cycle matching to oil (at a lag of 144 months). Energy is in everything.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
More can be found on this subject, via RTT Plus post called - Virus - Speculation economic effects
NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.
Support this work by buying us a hot drink by CLICKING HERE. If you would like make greater contribution, please make a donation by CLICKING HERE
NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote...
..“Stocks, like atoms, are really centers of energies.Therefore they are controlled mathematically"…."There is no chance in nature because mathematical principles of the highest order lie at the foundation of all things”..
William D Gann
..“If a speculator is correct half of the time, he is hitting a good average. Even being right 3 or 4 times out of 10 should yield a person a fortune if he has the sense to cut his losses quickly on the ventures where he is wrong.”..
Bernard Baruch
.."Markets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected"..
George Soros
.."When I bet big .. I have a mind to own a position for years .. Yet you must have a ruthless objectiveness and open mindedness as to when the facts change to exit the position, if so within hours or days .. I have not used a stop loss in 40 years"..
Stanley Druckenmiller
.."Socialism in general has a record of failure so blatant that only an intellectual could ignore or evade it"..
Thomas Sowell
|
|
|
|
We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
|
|
 | Pages |
| | 1. Blog Performance Review |
| | 2. List of the best blog posts |
| MostRecent |
|  | Japanese Debt Crisis |
| | China has some economic challenges ahead |
| | Gold what is it good for? |
| | Welcome to QE 5 |
|  | Dow Jones Long Cycle Review |
 | Ney(1) |
 | | US Dollar with Ney and Gann Angles |
 | Crypto Currency(33) |
| Central Banks(19) |
| Crisis Watch(10) |
| Wyckoff(5) |
| Cycles(5) |
| Gann(13) |
| Chart Review(17) |
| Browsing(121) |
| RTT TV(15) |
| Sector Watch(33) |
| RTT Tools(43) |
| Wyckoff 2.0(43) |
| Market Strategy(74) |
| Cycle Review(77) |
| Swing Trade Idea(49) |
| Market Calls(26) |
| Investors(105) |
| | Hidden Pivot Point and Wyckoff logic |
| News(7) |
| Bonds(20) |
| Metals and Forex(169) |
| Wall Street(25) |
| | Wealth Manager 60-40 Portfolio Theory Challenge |
| Ticker Review(35) |
| | Silver stock taking the sector higher |
| Uncategorized(2) |
| | Bitcoin Chart Review |
| Market Review(96) |
| Jokes(28) |
 | Economic(101) |
| | China has some economic challenges ahead |
| | USA economy to pick up second half of 2025 |
| | China M1 is key to watch. |
| | US Debt to GDP issue, what is next? |
| | The uninformed are crushed by money supply growth |
| | US Election Year Cash Bazooka |
| | 2024 soft landing working it |
| | US GDP recovery |
| | US tax receipts hurting the dollar |
| | Stagflation now, as deflation risks grow |
| | Love of property investment will die |
| | Money supply crash will force a sharp FED reaction |
| | Powell has a debt problem |
| | Powell doing a Volker to crush inflation, yeah right! |
| | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 - Update 1 (RTT Plus) |
| | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 (RTT Plus) |
| | US is bound by these economic rules (RTT Plus) |
| | Dow Jones Utility index could trade like the FANGs |
| | Funds are getting ready to move out of USA |
| | US Economic Review 2019Q4 |
| 202608(1) |
| | Japanese Debt Crisis |
| 202607(1) |
| | China has some economic challenges ahead |
| 202606(1) |
| | Gold what is it good for? |
| 202605(1) |
| | Welcome to QE 5 |
| 202604(1) |
| | Dow Jones Long Cycle Review |
| 202603(1) |
| | Gold Price Target |
| 202602(1) |
| | Bitcoin slump! |
| 202601(1) |
| | Gold and Silver Targets |
| 202512(1) |
| | Wyckoff Chart for 2026 |
| 202511(2) |
| 202510(1) |
| | The Big Long - Everything Gold |
| 202509(2) |
| 202508(1) |
| | Dollar soft into 2030s (Part 1) |
| 202507(1) |
| | Macro Chart Storm |
| 202506(1) |
| | Wyckoff logic working in modern day markets |
| 202505(1) |
| | USA economy to pick up second half of 2025 |
| 202504(1) |
| | Semi Conductors ready to bounce. |
| 202503(1) |
| | Mining stocks higher into 2026 Mid terms |
| 202501(2) |
| 202412(1) |
| | Bitcoin passes $100,000 |
| 202411(1) |
| | Post TRUMP win, our top pick |
| 202410(1) |
| | China M1 is key to watch. |
| 202409(1) |
| | US Debt to GDP issue, what is next? |
| 202408(1) |
| | Market Money Sugar |
| 202407(1) |
| | The uninformed are crushed by money supply growth |
| 202406(1) |
| | US Election Year Cash Bazooka |
| 202405(1) |
| | Bitcoin 2025 price targets |
| 202404(1) |
| | Fed panic signal to watch for |
| 202403(1) |
| | Gold stocks ready to move |
| 202402(1) |
| | Long term bond games will send investors into gold |
| 202401(2) |
| 202312(1) |
| | Stock market cycle look into 2024 |
| 202311(1) |
| | Ethereum runs hot on new market liquidity |
| 202310(2) |
| 202309(3) |
| 202308(3) |
| 202307(2) |
| 202306(3) |
| 202305(3) |
| 202304(4) |
| 202303(2) |
| 202302(4) |
| 202301(3) |
| 202212(4) |
| 202211(3) |
| 202210(5) |
| 202209(3) |
| 202208(4) |
| 202207(4) |
| 202206(3) |
| 202205(5) |
| 202204(3) |
| 202203(3) |
| 202202(2) |
| 202201(4) |
| 202112(5) |
| 202111(4) |
| 202110(3) |
| 202109(5) |
| 202108(5) |
| 202107(8) |
| 202106(9) |
| 202105(7) |
| 202104(4) |
| 202103(7) |
| 202102(6) |
| 202101(8) |
| 202012(3) |
| 202011(5) |
| 202010(3) |
| 202009(4) |
| 202008(4) |
| 202007(4) |
| 202006(3) |
| 202005(5) |
| 202004(4) |
| 202003(10) |
| 202002(5) |
| 202001(5) |
| 201912(5) |
| 201911(5) |
| 201910(7) |
| 201909(5) |
| 201908(4) |
| 201907(5) |
| 201906(5) |
| 201905(7) |
| 201904(5) |
| 201903(8) |
| 201902(5) |
| 201901(6) |
| | Aussie Gold Stock Review |
| | RTT browsing latest.. |
| | Bitcoin is entering the Dead Zone |
| | Cycle moves to profit from in 2019 |
 RSS
Atom
Email Delivery
Blog Links
Symbols used in blog
AAPL AORD AUY BB BTC COP CRB DOW DXY ETH EUR FXE FXY GDX GDXJ GLD GOLD HMY HUI INDU JJC LTC MCD NCM NFLX OIL PALL QQQ RGLD SIL SILVER SLV SOX SPY SSRM TLT TNX TRAN TYX UTIL VIX XAU XLE YEN
|