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Created on: 1/19/2020 6:22:07 PM   Last Update: 1/20/2020 4:44:33 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 1495 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.

1 POST SP500 Kitchin Cycle Review
sp500-kitchin-cycle-reviewThe biggest known news date in the next 18 months is the US Election. The biggest unknown news date is when the US believes it is in a economic recession.

The Kitchin Cycle is still working.


We must conclude the major 900 period low is now in, and we are now in a up swing, which may top out ate 2020 or late 2021. Any future top out may only generate a 10% to 20% correction, of course this can be deemed very mild. This is expected, but the expected does not always play out. 


Rolling the dice to get '7' does not always work. Post US elections seasonal's aligned with a poor start of the decade seasonal trends, add on high global recession risk, add on a stock market slump tends to occur in the years ending 9,1,2,3,4 (like 1973, 1982, 1991, 2001, 2009 are all recession years), markets may get very interesting.



Season1 



Season1



We will continue to watch the Kitchin cycle with interest. 



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SP500 cycle





The pullbacks in the SP500 have really tested below 20% over the 10+ year period. This very strange for such a long period of time, is it the algo's or the FED's trading team. Who knows! However the point is if price ever gets below 20% on a weekly close then you can bet the following sell off will be spectacular. 



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SP500 stop loss




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NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.

Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.


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Investing Quote...

..."In the long run commodity prices are governed by one law – the economic law of demand and supply"..

Jesse Livermore


.."If past history was all there was to the game, the richest people would be librarians"..

Warren Buffett


.."A market is the combined behavior of thousands of people responding to information, misinformation and whim"..

Kenneth Chang


..."Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."..


Mark Twain

.."It Ain’t What You Don’t Know That Gets You Into Trouble. It’s What You Know for Sure That Just Ain’t So"..


Mark Twain




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