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Created on: 1/1/2020 4:37:57 PM Last Update: 1/2/2020 2:12:30 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 749 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
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Currency and Metals could be the big movers early in 2020
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 Trump is doing his trade thing with China, and part of the 2020 agreement will be a resolution of the US dollar. A weaker US dollar is on the table, as it helps both Trump and Xi. The COT reports gives us a huge hint this is about to happen early in 2020.
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Lyn Alden makes a great point in this thread about the Dec 2019 repo news.
For years, large U.S. banks were drawing down cash levels (15% to 7% of assets in last 5yr) to buy treasuries (from 15% to 21% of assets). But now they are basically at regulatory limits; can't draw down cash to buy more treasuries. So, the Fed became the new buyer of them.
and ..
A lot of people think the Fed is trying to support the equity market, or covering for a bank/fund failure somewhere. Those explanations are possible, but not required. The Fed simply taking over as the primary financier of U.S. deficits is a mathematically sufficient reason.
Luke Gromen sums up the argument for a lower US dollar.
It is election year in the USA and to stimulate into Nov 2020 he needs a economic boost. Trump can not get tax cuts, or infrastructure spending out of congress, he is left with the FED balance sheet and a lower US dollar. They are about to step up big time.
More on CFTC reports, a pinch of salt is required. It is a review of current market conditions compared to previous conditions.
NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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Investing Quote...
.."While I have made it a practice to limit my risk in most cases, I can trace most of my principal losses to my failure to place stop orders when the trades were made."..
Richard D Wyckoff
.."Capitalism works better than it sounds, while socialism sounds better than it works"...
Richard Nixon
Novice Traders trade 5 to 10 times too big. They are taking 5 to 10% risks on a trade they should be taking 1 to 2 percent risks.
Bruce Kovner
..."Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."..
Mark Twain
..“By failing to prepare, you are preparing to fail”..
Benjamin Franklin
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We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
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