|
|
Created on: 6/22/2019 5:55:35 PM Last Update: Comment has not been edited. Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 2406 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
Formula for when the Great Stock Market Rally ends
|
 When valuations for the boring water company or the boring electric company is trading like your Facebook, Apple, Amazon or Netflix or Google (ie FANG) you know something is wrong.
This is when a seriously over valued market is screaming at you.
Of course the reader must understand in a world where money printing goes super nuts (Zimbabwe style) the stock market may go hyper inflationary and picking a time frame for a top is never a good idea, but we are not there yet. There is no Ben Bernanke helicopter money to the masses yet (ie MMT).
To see when water company's (and such like) are nearing the crazy FANG like valuations a review of the Dow Jones Utility Index channel shows us how history can repeat. The chart below suggest the coming 2020 money boost from the central planners should keep stocks up until 2019/20. Must be an election year, hmmm!
Of course after the recent gold move the SP500 may end up 10% by Dec 2020, but in gold terms it may be flat or down, meaning gold moving higher and faster than the SP500. Of course SP500 moving higher while gold moves higher is good for gold stocks, on a relative strength basis.
The short story is: Happy stock market days should continue into 2020. But watch out for a massive top in the Dow Jones Utility Index as history is likely to repeat as a bear market arrives.
Subject to either of:
1) US/Iran war pushing oil going to $100 and a world recession follows very quickly.
2) Super nuts money printing, Zimbabwe style and Dow Jones to $50,000
3) Deutsche bank blows up Lehman style.
Dow Jones Utility Index History Rhymes.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
Cycle chart confirms channel forecast top.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.
Support this work by buying us a hot drink by CLICKING HERE. If you would like make greater contribution, please make a donation by CLICKING HERE
NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote...
.."Thus, I affirm, every class of phenomena, whether in nature or in the stock market, must be subject to the universal law of causation and harmony. Every effect must have an adequate cause."..
William D Gann
.."A market is the combined behavior of thousands of people responding to information, misinformation and whim"..
Kenneth Chang
.."Just because you’re taught that something’s right and everyone believes it’s right, it don’t make it right."..
Mark Twain
..."I always believe that prices move first and fundamentals come second"..
Paul Tudor Jones
..“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism and die of euphoria.”..
John Templeton
|
|
|
|
We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
|
|
 | Pages |
| | 1. Blog Performance Review |
| | 2. List of the best blog posts |
| MostRecent |
|  | Gold and Silver Targets |
| | Wyckoff Chart for 2026 |
| | RTT browsing latest.. |
| | Bitcoin is Chinese now! |
|  | The Big Long - Everything Gold |
 | Ney(1) |
 | | US Dollar with Ney and Gann Angles |
 | Crypto Currency(32) |
| Central Banks(18) |
| Crisis Watch(9) |
| Wyckoff(5) |
| Cycles(5) |
| Gann(13) |
| Chart Review(17) |
| Browsing(121) |
| RTT TV(15) |
| Sector Watch(33) |
| RTT Tools(43) |
| Wyckoff 2.0(43) |
| Market Strategy(74) |
| Cycle Review(76) |
| Swing Trade Idea(49) |
| Market Calls(26) |
| Investors(105) |
| | Hidden Pivot Point and Wyckoff logic |
| News(7) |
| Bonds(20) |
| Metals and Forex(167) |
| Gann Wyckoff Hurst(119) |
| | Newmont Mining Gann Angles |
| Wall Street(25) |
| | Wealth Manager 60-40 Portfolio Theory Challenge |
| Ticker Review(35) |
| | Silver stock taking the sector higher |
| Uncategorized(2) |
| | Bitcoin Chart Review |
| Market Review(96) |
| Jokes(28) |
 | Economic(100) |
| | USA economy to pick up second half of 2025 |
| | China M1 is key to watch. |
| | US Debt to GDP issue, what is next? |
| | The uninformed are crushed by money supply growth |
| | US Election Year Cash Bazooka |
| | 2024 soft landing working it |
| | US GDP recovery |
| | US tax receipts hurting the dollar |
| | Stagflation now, as deflation risks grow |
| | Love of property investment will die |
| | Money supply crash will force a sharp FED reaction |
| | Powell has a debt problem |
| | Powell doing a Volker to crush inflation, yeah right! |
| | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 - Update 1 (RTT Plus) |
| | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 (RTT Plus) |
| | US is bound by these economic rules (RTT Plus) |
| | Dow Jones Utility index could trade like the FANGs |
| | Funds are getting ready to move out of USA |
| | US Economic Review 2019Q4 |
| 202601(1) |
| | Gold and Silver Targets |
| 202512(1) |
| | Wyckoff Chart for 2026 |
| 202511(2) |
| 202510(1) |
| | The Big Long - Everything Gold |
| 202509(2) |
| 202508(1) |
| | Dollar soft into 2030s (Part 1) |
| 202507(1) |
| | Macro Chart Storm |
| 202506(1) |
| | Wyckoff logic working in modern day markets |
| 202505(1) |
| | USA economy to pick up second half of 2025 |
| 202504(1) |
| | Semi Conductors ready to bounce. |
| 202503(1) |
| | Mining stocks higher into 2026 Mid terms |
| 202501(2) |
| 202412(1) |
| | Bitcoin passes $100,000 |
| 202411(1) |
| | Post TRUMP win, our top pick |
| 202410(1) |
| | China M1 is key to watch. |
| 202409(1) |
| | US Debt to GDP issue, what is next? |
| 202408(1) |
| | Market Money Sugar |
| 202407(1) |
| | The uninformed are crushed by money supply growth |
| 202406(1) |
| | US Election Year Cash Bazooka |
| 202405(1) |
| | Bitcoin 2025 price targets |
| 202404(1) |
| | Fed panic signal to watch for |
| 202403(1) |
| | Gold stocks ready to move |
| 202402(1) |
| | Long term bond games will send investors into gold |
| 202401(2) |
| 202312(1) |
| | Stock market cycle look into 2024 |
| 202311(1) |
| | Ethereum runs hot on new market liquidity |
| 202310(2) |
| 202309(3) |
| 202308(3) |
| 202307(2) |
| 202306(3) |
| 202305(3) |
| 202304(4) |
| 202303(2) |
| 202302(4) |
| 202301(3) |
| 202212(4) |
| 202211(3) |
| 202210(5) |
| 202209(3) |
| 202208(4) |
| 202207(4) |
| 202206(3) |
| 202205(5) |
| 202204(3) |
| 202203(3) |
| 202202(2) |
| 202201(4) |
| 202112(5) |
| 202111(4) |
| 202110(3) |
| 202109(5) |
| 202108(5) |
| 202107(8) |
| 202106(9) |
| 202105(7) |
| 202104(4) |
| 202103(7) |
| 202102(6) |
| 202101(8) |
| 202012(3) |
| 202011(5) |
| 202010(3) |
| 202009(4) |
| 202008(4) |
| 202007(4) |
| 202006(3) |
| 202005(5) |
| 202004(4) |
| 202003(10) |
| 202002(5) |
| 202001(5) |
| 201912(5) |
| 201911(5) |
| 201910(7) |
| 201909(5) |
| 201908(4) |
| 201907(5) |
| 201906(5) |
| 201905(7) |
| 201904(5) |
| 201903(8) |
| 201902(5) |
| 201901(6) |
| 201812(4) |
| 201811(5) |
| | Bitcoin is so like 1979 silver |
 RSS
Atom
Email Delivery
Blog Links
Symbols used in blog
AAPL AORD AUY BB BTC COP CRB DJI DOW DXY ETH EUR FXE FXY GDX GDXJ GLD GOLD HMY HUI INDU JJC LTC MCD NCM NEM NFLX OIL PALL QQQ RGLD SIL SILVER SLV SOX SPY SSRM TLT TNX TRAN TYX UTIL VIX XAU XLE
|