Google site search Follow readtheticker on LindedIn YouTube StockTwits Follow readtheticker on Twitter
Blog ReLoad |Titles List |Media Only |Media Titles List |Market News |RSS RSS |ATOM Atom |EmailDelivery Email Delivery |Mobile
Created on: 7/18/2011 11:20:59 PM   Last Update: 7/19/2011 8:13:11 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 4962 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.

1 POST Long term interest rate cycle Bernanke doesnt want to see
long-term-interest-rate-cycle-bernanke-doesnt-want-to-seeQE2 has ended so it must be time to review long term 30 year interest rate cycles, and folks its not looking pretty. The cycle we see is not one Ben Bernanke wants to know about. If price action follows the cycle we are in for a doozie fall (Autumn).

I read this post Is the Fat Lady About to Sing Again for the Treasury Bond Market? so  check the cycles and I think he may be onto winner. Other tests with our volume tools also show the bulls are warming up.

Extract...

With QE2 now over, I think the party is about to end for the bond market. For the last eight months, the Federal Reserve has taken down virtually all of the Treasury’s new issues. That amounts to $75 billion a month. That massive candidate of new bond buying is over.


Private US and foreign central banks are not going to be able to make up the difference, no matter how many of their cars, textiles, electronics, toys, and finger traps that we buy. This big problem is that the bond market these days is very much like a Ponzi scheme. Unless there is a steady inflow of new suckers, the entire plan collapses like a house of cards.



COMMENTS: Yip not going to argue with that. What would 30 year yield at 4.8% do to the housing market, cant be good, of course if it prints 5.00%. You can expect QE3+. Watch the TYX and US Dollar. Risk Off may just get a little serious as the bond vigilantes strike once more.

The near perfect cycle oscillation doesn't mean one should execute a trade, we have no signs of strength or higher highs or higher lows, so we wont be first in, place this on the watch list to wait for bullish action to arise.

Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing.
3o yr yield Cycle TYX




Divider




NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.

Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.


Support this work by buying us a hot drink by CLICKING HERE. If you would like make greater contribution, please make a donation by CLICKING HERE

NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net

Investing Quote...

.."Every movement in the market is the result of a natural law and of a Cause which exists long before the Effect takes place and can be determined years in advance. The future is but a repetition of the past, as the Bible plainly states"..

William D Gann


..“I buy on the assumption they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years” and “Much success can be attributed to inactivity. Most investors cannot resist the temptation to constantly buy and sell.”..

Warren Buffet


.."Fundamentals might be good for the first third or first 50 or 60 percent of a move, but the last third of a great bull market is typically a blow-off, whereas the mania runs wild and prices go parabolic... There is no training, classroom or otherwise, that can prepare for trading the last third of a move, whether it's the end of a bull market or the end of a bear market."...

Paul Tudor Jones


..“Because of the extreme challenge, one must commit full attention to it.” Market speculation is “no different than trying to be a successful doctor or lawyer … you simply must devote yourself full-time to the study of your craft”...

Bernard Baruch


..."The four most dangerous words in investing are 'This time it's different' "...

John Templeton




         >> Print or PopOut or Pdf .
         >> Go Back

We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund



Search Blog Titles:
Search Blog for Text:
Search Blog for Ticker Symbol:

Or 'Click Me' to search this site with Google
What works in the market.
Wyckoff price road map.
Which time frame works best.

Pages
1. Blog Performance Review
2. List of the best blog posts

MostRecent
Gold warning signal just fired
Dow Jones Long Cycle Review
Bitcoin passes $100,000
Post TRUMP win, our top pick
China M1 is key to watch.

Ney(1)
Crypto Currency(31)
Central Banks(18)
Crisis Watch(9)
Wyckoff(4)
Cycles(5)
Gann(13)
Chart Review(17)
Browsing(120)
RTT TV(15)
Sector Watch(30)
RTT Tools(43)
Wyckoff 2.0(42)
Mystery Trader(6)
Market Strategy(73)
Cycle Review(76)
Swing Trade Idea(49)
Market Calls(24)
Investors(105)
News(7)
Bonds(20)
Metals and Forex(165)
Gann Wyckoff Hurst(119)
Wall Street(25)
Ticker Review(35)
Uncategorized(2)
Market Review(96)
Jokes(28)
Economic(99)

202501(2)
202412(1)
202411(1)
202410(1)
202409(1)
202408(1)
202407(1)
202406(1)
202405(1)
202404(1)
202403(1)
202402(1)
202401(2)
202312(1)
202311(1)
202310(2)
202309(3)
202308(3)
202307(2)
202306(3)
202305(3)
202304(4)
202303(2)
202302(4)
202301(3)
202212(4)
202211(3)
202210(5)
202209(3)
202208(4)
202207(4)
202206(3)
202205(5)
202204(3)
202203(3)
202202(2)
202201(4)
202112(5)
202111(4)
202110(3)
202109(5)
202108(5)
202107(8)
202106(9)
202105(7)
202104(4)
202103(7)
202102(6)
202101(8)
202012(3)
202011(5)
202010(3)
202009(4)
202008(4)
202007(4)
202006(3)
202005(5)
202004(4)
202003(10)
202002(5)
202001(5)
201912(5)
201911(5)
201910(7)
201909(5)
201908(4)
201907(5)
201906(5)
201905(7)
201904(5)
201903(8)
201902(5)
201901(6)
201812(4)
201811(5)
201810(7)
201809(4)


 

RSS RSS

ATOM Atom

EmailDelivery Email Delivery

  Blog Links
Marker TalkMarkets
Marker PhilStockWorld
Marker FinancialSurvivalNetwork
Marker Yardeni Research
Marker TradingEconomics
Marker dshort.com
Marker Marketoracle.co.uk
Marker Bloomberg.com
Marker McverryReport.com
Marker Calafia Beach Pundit
Marker ForexLive
Marker TurnaroundStockinvesting.com
Marker readtheticker tumblr
Marker readtheticker blogger
  Symbols used in blog
AAPL AMZN AORD AUY BB BTC COP DJI DOW DXY ETH EUR FB FXE FXY GDX GDXJ GLD GOLD GOOG HMY HUI INDU JJC LTC MCD NCM NEM NFLX OIL PALL QQQ RGLD SLV SPY SSRM TLT TNX TRAN TYX UTIL VIX XAU XLE XLU


Follow readtheticker on LindedIn

Seeking Alpha Certified





Contributor to...
McVerry Report


StockTwits








Home | Charts & Tutorials | Market Timing | Blog | RTT Tv | Services | Information & FAQ | Contact Us | Sign Up | Logon
Indicator Library | FAQ | Site Search | Symbols Available | Education | Advisors | General Policy | Privacy Policy | Terms Of Use | About Us
Tutorials | Charts Demo | Charts Members | Charts Secured | Mobile Site | Market News | Investment Quotes | World Time .
Public Disclaimer