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Created on: 11/26/2015 11:41:11 AM Last Update: 11/28/2015 7:16:48 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 3221 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
Greatest risk to the stock market is?
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 Nope it is not interest rates, nope it is not Donald Trump, it is! UPDATED
It is the CRUDE OIL crash, simple!
Jim Willie has good comments in the first 40 min of this pod cast.
Energy company ...
- Debt is blowing up (See energy element of HYG).
- Hedging at oil $100 is coming to an end.
- Iran coming back to the market, more supply.
- Saudi still providing massive supply.
- Oil tankers holding oil parked in the ocean are coming in to harbor to unload
- US dollar strength supports lower oil prices
- World wide DEMAND slump for energy or deflation.
- More oil being sold outside the US Dollar
- The Oil futures can not be manipulated easily as folks actually request and get delivery
UPDATE1:
Extract..."The US E&P sector could be on the cusp of massive defaults and bankruptcies so staggering they pose a serious threat to the US economy. Without higher oil and gas prices -- which few experts foresee in the near future -- an over-leveraged, under-hedged US E&P industry faces a truly grim 2016. How bad could things get? "I could see a wave of defaults and bankruptcies on the scale of the telecoms, which triggered the 2001 recession."
Yip....BOOM!
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And the Crude oil Channel break out south is near!
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NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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Investing Quote...
.."I did exactly the wrong thing. The cotton showed me a loss and I kept it. The wheat showed me a profit and I sold it out. Of all the speculative blunders there are few greater than trying to average a losing game. Always sell what shows you a loss and keep what shows you a profit."..
Jesse Livermore
In the short run, the market is a voting machine, but in the long run it is a weighing machine.
Benjamin Graham
.."When a company goes from crappy to less crappy, the stock goes up. When it goes from less crappy to good, the stock goes up more. When businesses become terrific, get out"..
Peter Lynch
.."October: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February."..
Mark Twain
..“The key to successful investing is having everyone agree with you — LATER.”..
Jim Grant
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