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Created on: 5/20/2011 5:20:48 AM Last Update: 5/20/2011 7:22:51 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 5588 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
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SP500 Cycle Update
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 What leads, technicals or fundamentals? Does a price chart discount all fundamentals? These debates rage on, but I can say with the utmost accuracy that cycles are great for predicting in the next explosion of activity. A rally or a sell off, no matter cycles have an uncanny knack of being on the money when either is in the infant stages.
The latest cycle for the SP500 chart is below. The trend has been up and I have numbered the cycle tops from 1 to 5 in heavy red. One was the news of Greek debt issues, or more precisely QE1 ending, four was the Japanese Tsunami, two and three were not material. What will 5 be? I am not sure yet, but mostly likely the pricing in of QE2 ending masked in another euro debt story just to fool the mums and pops.
We are never keen to trade cycle peaks that are against the trend, but this time I feel its different. Should five be more like one, as both are consulted by the ending of a QE episode. I am not saying a flash crash is to be upon us (but never say never), but we are due for a doosie. I would not take a position base on the Hurst cycle roll over alone, I would need to see confirmation by some selling by the big boys first (via our tool RTT TrendPower). Watching and waiting.
SPY Cycle
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SPY Gann Angle
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Fundamentals are rolling over to bearish
Hurst Cycles confirm Felix Zuluaf bearish outlook - UPDATE
Hurst Cycles confirm Felix Zuluaf bearish outlook
Cycles say the bears are about to roar
This is the contrarian investors next big winner
NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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Investing Quote...
.."TIME is the most important factor in determining market movements and by studying the past records of the averages or individual stocks you will be able to prove for yourself that history does repeat and that by knowing the past you can tell the future.
There is a definite relation between TIME and PRICE.
Now, by a study of the TIME PERIODS and TIME CYCLES you will learn why tops and bottoms are found at certain times and why Resistance Levels are so strong at certain times and bottoms and tops hold around them.
The most money is made when fast moves and extreme fluctuations occur at the end of major cycles." ..
William D Gann
..."Politicians and diapers must be changed often, and for the same reason."..
Mark Twain
..“I buy on the assumption they could close the market the next day and not reopen it for five years” and “Much success can be attributed to inactivity. Most investors cannot resist the temptation to constantly buy and sell.”..
Warren Buffet
.."The first rule is not to lose. The second rule is not to forget the first rule"
Warren Buffett
.."Until an hour before the Devil fell, God thought him beautiful in Heaven"..
Arthur Miller, “The Crucible”
[Contrarian Investing]
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We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
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