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Created on: 5/20/2011 5:20:48 AM   Last Update: 5/20/2011 7:22:51 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 5022 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.

1 POST SP500 Cycle Update
sp500-cycle-updateWhat leads, technicals or fundamentals? Does a price chart discount all fundamentals? These debates rage on, but I can say with the utmost accuracy that cycles are great for predicting in the next explosion of activity. A rally or a sell off, no matter cycles have an uncanny knack of being on the money when either is in the infant stages.

The latest cycle for the SP500 chart is below. The trend has been up and I have numbered the cycle tops from 1 to 5 in heavy red. One was the news of Greek debt issues, or more precisely QE1 ending, four was the Japanese Tsunami, two and three were not material. What will 5 be? I am not sure yet, but mostly likely the pricing in of QE2 ending masked in another euro debt story just to fool the mums and pops.

We are never keen to trade cycle peaks that are against the trend, but this time I feel its different. Should five be more like one, as both are consulted by the ending of a QE episode. I am not saying a flash crash is to be upon us (but never say never), but we are due for a doosie. I would not take a position base on the Hurst cycle roll over alone, I would need to see confirmation by some selling by the big boys first (via our tool RTT TrendPower). Watching and waiting.

SPY Cycle
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SPY Cycle Hurst

SPY Gann Angle
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SPY Gann Angle


Fundamentals are rolling over to bearish
Hurst Cycles confirm Felix Zuluaf bearish outlook - UPDATE
Hurst Cycles confirm Felix Zuluaf bearish outlook
Cycles say the bears are about to roar
This is the contrarian investors next big winner





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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.


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Investing Quote...

..."Vibration is fundamental; nothing is exempt from this law; it is universal, therefore applicable to every class of phenomena on the globe."...

William D Gann


.."It Ain’t What You Don’t Know That Gets You Into Trouble. It’s What You Know for Sure That Just Ain’t So"..


Mark Twain

.."The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not"...


Thomas Jefferson

.."It is better to keep your mouth closed and let people think you are a fool than to open it and remove all doubt."..


Mark Twain

.."October: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February."..

Mark Twain




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