|
|
Created on: 5/11/2011 3:28:16 AM Last Update: 5/11/2011 3:39:53 AM Posted by: RTT WARNING: This entry is 5031 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
Cycles say the bears are about to roar
|
The Stock market pushes higher and higher, what fool would take a short position against this mighty liquidity pump up, however there are a few dark clouds in the next few months: US Summer is seasonly poor, QE2 ending, earnings are peaking, Greek woes. When the SP500 sinks, historically the US dollar rallies, transports fall and funds rotate out of aggressive stocks to defensive stocks. Let's review these cycles to see what we can expected next.
Dow Transports: If Transports fall, this can lead to a Dow Theory Sell signal. Defensive Stocks: If folks are bearish, they begin to rotate monies into defensive stocks. US Dollar: If the risk off trade is the theme, then the commodity currencies and the Euro will fall, the offset will be a rally in the US Dollar. A rising US dollar will wipe millions off the sales revenue of SP500 companies, thus earnings will be lower.
Between 2009/10, many cycles suffered an inversion to price, this was due to very bearish sentiment reversing on massive quantitative easing (QE1) from central banks around the world.
The cycles show all are due for a rollover, it is going to be very interesting in the next three months. No wonder sector rotation into defensive stocks is the current theme in the SP500.
QUESTION: Are the bears about to roar ?
If you concur, SPY puts and bearish ETFs should be on your menu near the end of May 2011.
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing. 
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing. 
Click for popup. Clear your browser cache if image is not showing. 

NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.
Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.
Support this work by buying us a hot drink by CLICKING HERE. If you would like make greater contribution, please make a donation by CLICKING HERE
NOTE: readtheticker.com does allow users to load objects and text on charts, however some annotations are by a free third party image tool named Paint.net
Investing Quote...
.."Don’t trust your own opinion and back your judgment until the action of the market itself confirms your opinion"..
Jesse Livermore Trading Rule
..“One must search through a maze of complex and contradictory details to get to the significant facts … Then he must be able to operate coldly, clearly, and skilfully on the basis of those facts.” The challenge for the successful speculator is “how to disentangle the cold hard facts from the rather warm feelings of the people dealing with the facts.” Moreover, “if you get all the facts, your judgment can be right; if you don’t get all the facts, it can’t be right”...
Bernard Baruch
.."Earnings don’t move the overall market; it’s the Federal Reserve Board… focus on the central banks and focus on the movement of liquidity… most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It’s liquidity that moves markets"...
Stan Druckenmiller
..“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism and die of euphoria.”..
John Templeton
.."it is better to have few stocks and to watch them carefully”...
Bernard Burach
|
|
|
We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
|
|
 | Pages |
| | 1. Blog Performance Review |
| | 2. List of the best blog posts |
 | MostRecent |
|  | Gold warning signal just fired |
|  | Dow Jones Long Cycle Review |
|  | Bitcoin passes $100,000 |
|  | Post TRUMP win, our top pick |
|  | China M1 is key to watch. |
 | Ney(1) |
 |  | US Dollar with Ney and Gann Angles |
 | Crypto Currency(31) |
 | Central Banks(18) |
 | Crisis Watch(9) |
 | Wyckoff(4) |
 | Cycles(5) |
 | Gann(13) |
 | Chart Review(17) |
 | Browsing(120) |
 | RTT TV(15) |
 | Sector Watch(30) |
 | RTT Tools(43) |
 | Wyckoff 2.0(42) |
 | Mystery Trader(6) |
 |  | Elliot Wave within Wyckoff Logic |
 | Market Strategy(73) |
 | Cycle Review(76) |
 | Swing Trade Idea(49) |
 | Market Calls(24) |
 | Investors(105) |
 |  | Hidden Pivot Point and Wyckoff logic |
 | News(7) |
 | Bonds(20) |
 | Metals and Forex(165) |
 | Gann Wyckoff Hurst(119) |
 |  | Newmont Mining Gann Angles |
 | Wall Street(25) |
 | Ticker Review(35) |
 | Uncategorized(2) |
 |  | Bitcoin Chart Review |
 | Market Review(96) |
 | Jokes(28) |
 | Economic(99) |
|  | China M1 is key to watch. |
|  | US Debt to GDP issue, what is next? |
|  | The uninformed are crushed by money supply growth |
|  | US Election Year Cash Bazooka |
|  | 2024 soft landing working it |
|  | US GDP recovery |
|  | US tax receipts hurting the dollar |
|  | Stagflation now, as deflation risks grow |
|  | Love of property investment will die |
|  | Money supply crash will force a sharp FED reaction |
|  | Powell has a debt problem |
|  | Powell doing a Volker to crush inflation, yeah right! |
|  | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 - Update 1 (RTT Plus) |
|  | Bubble Watch - Maybe it only just started, Dow 50000 (RTT Plus) |
|  | US is bound by these economic rules (RTT Plus) |
|  | Dow Jones Utility index could trade like the FANGs |
|  | Funds are getting ready to move out of USA |
|  | US Economic Review 2019Q4 |
|  | Bond Market, Houston we have a problem! |
 | 202501(2) |
 | 202412(1) |
 |  | Bitcoin passes $100,000 |
 | 202411(1) |
 |  | Post TRUMP win, our top pick |
 | 202410(1) |
 |  | China M1 is key to watch. |
 | 202409(1) |
 |  | US Debt to GDP issue, what is next? |
 | 202408(1) |
 |  | Market Money Sugar |
 | 202407(1) |
 |  | The uninformed are crushed by money supply growth |
 | 202406(1) |
 |  | US Election Year Cash Bazooka |
 | 202405(1) |
 |  | Bitcoin 2025 price targets |
 | 202404(1) |
 |  | Fed panic signal to watch for |
 | 202403(1) |
 |  | Gold stocks ready to move |
 | 202402(1) |
 |  | Long term bond games will send investors into gold |
 | 202401(2) |
 | 202312(1) |
 |  | Stock market cycle look into 2024 |
 | 202311(1) |
 |  | Ethereum runs hot on new market liquidity |
 | 202310(2) |
 | 202309(3) |
 | 202308(3) |
 | 202307(2) |
 | 202306(3) |
 | 202305(3) |
 | 202304(4) |
 | 202303(2) |
 | 202302(4) |
 | 202301(3) |
 | 202212(4) |
 | 202211(3) |
 | 202210(5) |
 | 202209(3) |
 | 202208(4) |
 | 202207(4) |
 | 202206(3) |
 | 202205(5) |
 | 202204(3) |
 | 202203(3) |
 | 202202(2) |
 | 202201(4) |
 | 202112(5) |
 | 202111(4) |
 | 202110(3) |
 | 202109(5) |
 | 202108(5) |
 | 202107(8) |
 | 202106(9) |
 | 202105(7) |
 | 202104(4) |
 | 202103(7) |
 | 202102(6) |
 | 202101(8) |
 | 202012(3) |
 | 202011(5) |
 | 202010(3) |
 | 202009(4) |
 | 202008(4) |
 | 202007(4) |
 | 202006(3) |
 | 202005(5) |
 | 202004(4) |
 | 202003(10) |
 | 202002(5) |
 | 202001(5) |
 | 201912(5) |
 | 201911(5) |
 | 201910(7) |
 | 201909(5) |
 | 201908(4) |
 | 201907(5) |
 | 201906(5) |
 | 201905(7) |
 | 201904(5) |
 | 201903(8) |
 | 201902(5) |
 | 201901(6) |
 | 201812(4) |
 | 201811(5) |
 | 201810(7) |
 | 201809(4) |
|  | Gold Gann Update |
|  | Bitcoin Update - Bullish pressure present |
RSS
Atom
Email Delivery
Blog Links
Symbols used in blog
AAPL AMZN AORD AUY BB BTC COP DJI DOW DXY ETH EUR FB FXE FXY GDX GDXJ GLD GOLD GOOG HMY HUI INDU JJC LTC MCD NCM NEM NFLX OIL PALL QQQ RGLD SLV SPY SSRM TLT TNX TRAN TYX UTIL VIX XAU XLE XLU
|