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Created on: 8/4/2013 3:37:08 AM   Last Update: 8/4/2013 3:38:48 AM Posted by: RTT
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1 POST SP500 trend closer to the end than the start
sp500-trend-closer-to-the-end-than-the-startNever pick a top. Ever! But it is hard not to get the feeling that the SP500 trend is very long in the tooth, and new money to work here is picking up dimes in front of a very large bull dozer.

Previous post: SP500 cycle working well

There are cycles in the market, for the simple reason that humans are still involved in the stock market. Stock markets do not move in straight lines, trends are punctuated with pullbacks ranging from 3% to 20%. The news of the day is the catalyst for the pullbacks and you can not help but get the feeling that the news to come in the months ahead will be a satisfactory for a decent double digit pullback.

Consider these news items:

1) German elections, if Angela Merkel loses power and Europe is once again high risk
2) USA interest rates rise greater than two times annual GDP ( ie 4.00%)
3) The fear that the new US Federal Reserve Chairman will rocking the US Treasury bond boat.
4) US Earnings falters.
5) US Economic growth falters.

Just to name a few. Our pick is (3), nothing ever good happens when the FED chairman changes.

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SP500 weekly cycle



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NOTE: Posts here are the lite version, more depth on each subject can be found via our RTT Plus membership.

Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination of Gann Angles, Cycles, Wyckoff and Ney logic is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years. This post is a delayed and small sample of what is avaliable to members. Sign up to enjoy the full service.


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Investing Quote...

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