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Created on: 4/27/2013 6:57:41 PM Last Update: 4/27/2013 6:57:52 PM Posted by: RTT
WARNING: This entry is 3624 days old. It may contain broken links, out-dated or misleading content. Please read on with caution.
1 POST
Yen has moved hard and fast, but nothing moves in a straight line forever
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 The Japanese yen is falling hard and fast, it's very heavy. But nothing moves in a straight line forever.
The falling yen has pushed stock markets higher, increased volatility in commodities and bond markets, but at the yen current levels the noise from German and US exporters at the loss of market share could be a reason for a slow down. After all hedging last so long. If the yen stalls this could also see the stock markets pull back (as the SP500 is highly correlated to the AUDJPY).
RTT uses the RTTTrendStatus tool similar to many folk using sigma (standard deviation) to determine how far price is away from the mean. In the past RTTTrendStatus -15 (on weekly data) has been a very good place to watch out for a trend reversal in the FXY (or USDJPY).
Point: A turning FXY (USDJPY) will also be correlated with a turning SP500, and of course a rise in the 'fear' trade. Watching and waiting.
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Changes in the world is the source of all market moves, to catch and ride the change we believe a combination
of Gann Angles,
Cycles,
Wyckoff and
Ney logic
is the best way to ride the change, after all these methods have been used successfully for 70+ years.
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Investing Quote...
.."Nothing new ever occurs in the business of speculating or investing in securities and commodities."..
Jesse Livernore Trading Rule
...“To me, the 'tape' is the final arbiter of any investment decision. I have a cardinal rule: Never fight the tape!”...
Martin Zweig
.."If you have trouble imagining a 20% loss in the stock market, you shouldn't be in stocks"..
John (Jack) Bogle
.."man exists for the achievement of his desires"..
Ayn Rand
.."October: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February."..
Mark Twain
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