Created on: 5/6/2011 10:20:04 PM Last Update: 5/6/2011 11:35:08 PM Posted by: RTT
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Richard Wyckoff composite man wins again with the silver etf (507)
Did silver make you rich in 2011? I have read many comments on the web of folks who sold early or late, thus claiming the market timing of silver an impossibility, and some are throwing in the towel on technical analysis and solely really on fundamentals. If so that is exactly how the Richard Wyckoff composite man wants your state of mind to be in, confused, destroyed and lost. Richard Wyckoff composite man wins, the public loses . Get smart learn wyckoffian logic.
Composite man defined: Richard Wyckoff’s name to the total sum of the more informed forces that move the market. (RTT: In modern day marketing terms 'the combined group of smart money that moves markets', on this site we sometimes call him Mr Market.)
To learn all you can about Richard Wyckoff you can start here: Richard Wyckoff method.
Just knowing the basics is enough to keep your profits on great trades. One Wyckoff technical rule is that periods of extreme volume is a warning that supply is overcoming demand, and eventually supply will swamp demand and prices will fall. The most recent example of this can be seen in the silver ETF at the beginning of May 2011.
The composite man accumulated silver etf under $20, marked up prices to $50, but on the way up started to sell to those that came late to silver trade above $40, and they did so aggressively, you know this to be true as the daily volume spikes are extreme after $40, this is the composite man is selling to Joe public or the not so clever mutual fund manager. This happens in every market, and your education should start with the great itulip bubble of 1637 when a single flower sold for the value of an average house!
Does silver sell off mean the bull market is over, NO. It just means that silver may get to $250 via $25 before all is said and done. If you want to be on this chess board you have to learn how to read the game while it is in play. Learn Wyckoff, learn Hurst cycles and learn the best William Gann gave to the investing community (ie Gann Angles)
In our view Wyckoff methods mixed with Hurst and Gann logic gives you all the 'special forces' technical tools you will ever need to master security chartology. This does not in anyway discount the need to understand the ebb and flow of fundamentals within the market.
See our previous posts on silver etf for more.
Silver at the Hillary step of a massive peak
Timing Silver with 100 percent accuracy
Silver can swing your wealth between rich and poor
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..“What beat me was not having the brains enough to stick to my own game – that is, to play the market only when I was satisfied that precedents favored my play.”..
.."October: This is one of the peculiarly dangerous months to speculate in stocks. The others are July, January, September, April, November, May, March, June, December, August and February."..
..“Bull markets are born on pessimism, grow on scepticism, mature on optimism and die of euphoria.”..
.."Earnings don’t move the overall market; it’s the Federal Reserve Board… focus on the central banks and focus on the movement of liquidity… most people in the market are looking for earnings and conventional measures. It’s liquidity that moves markets"...
..“One must search through a maze of complex and contradictory details to get to the significant facts … Then he must be able to operate coldly, clearly, and skilfully on the basis of those facts.” The challenge for the successful speculator is “how to disentangle the cold hard facts from the rather warm feelings of the people dealing with the facts.” Moreover, “if you get all the facts, your judgment can be right; if you don’t get all the facts, it can’t be right”...
We at readtheticker.com hold the view that a mix of stock chart technical analysis, Richard Wyckoff, William Gann and Jim Hurst methods plus market fundamentals allows the investor to formulate a very sound market opinion. These attributes are mutually inclusive and must be weighted equally before investing or trading in any Stock, ETF, Currency, Bond, Commodity, CFD or Mutual Fund
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